| December 10, 2020

Massive Expansions and Huge Improvements in Speed: The Worldwide Growth of 5G in 2020

The rapid expansion of 5G in countries across the globe was a bright spot in a year that needed one. But just how great is the news? We examined Speedtest Intelligence® data from over 60.5 million Speedtest® results during Q3 2020 to see how much speeds have improved, where download speeds are the fastest at the country and capital level, where 5G deployments have increased and what worldwide 5G coverage looks like now. We also looked at countries where 5G doesn’t yet reach to understand where good news might be on the horizon.

We have only included countries with commercially available 5G on these lists in order to provide a more accurate view of the performance consumers can reasonably expect. While our data shows results for many countries where 5G is not yet commercially available, these tests are likely results from engineers testing their own networks. In addition, we’re only providing analysis for countries with more than 200 samples during Q3 2020. The bars shown in our charts are 95% confidence intervals, which represent the range of values in which the true value is likely to be. Countries marked in tables with an asterisk first launched 5G commercially in 2020.

5G downloads were 954% faster than 4G at the global level

The worldwide median download speed over 5G was 954% faster than that over 4G during Q3 2020. Median upload speed over 5G was 311% faster than that over 4G. Consumers are eagerly adopting the new technology and many have wanted to measure the full throughput capacity of their network connection. In Q3 2020 alone, there were 4,324,788 Speedtest results over 5G.
Median-Speeds-Worldwide_1220-1

United Arab Emirates had the fastest 5G

United Arab Emirates topped the list of countries with the fastest top 10% 5G download speed in Q3 2020. Top 10% (or 90th percentile) measures the speeds seen by the fastest 10% of users and is a way to gauge what each country’s networks are capable of. Saudi Arabia was second for top 10% 5G download speed, Norway third, Spain fourth and Japan fifth.
Fastest-Countries-Top-5G-Download-Speed_1220-2

Another way to measure 5G performance is to look at median 5G download speed, which is a better predictor of the kind of performance most 5G customers can expect. Norway was the country with the fastest median download speed over 5G during Q3 2020. U.A.E. was second in this category, South Africa third, Saudi Arabia fourth and Spain fifth.
Fastest-Countries-Median-5G-Download-Speed_1220-2

It’s notable that Japan was on the list of 10 countries with the fastest top 10% 5G download speed but not on the list of 10 countries with the fastest median download speed over 5G. No matter how fast a country’s mobile infrastructure is, many other factors go into median 5G speeds, including device adoption and spectrum allocation.

Abu Dhabi tops list of 5G speeds in world capitals

Our examination of 5G performance for 18 world capital cities with 5G during Q3 2020 found that Abu Dhabi had the fastest median download speed over 5G at 546.81 Mbps. Riyadh was second, Madrid third, Seoul fourth and Kuwait City fifth. As we saw at the country level, median upload speed was much lower than download speed.
Median-5G-Performance-Capitals_1220-2

How 5G performance and time spent compare within regions

We looked more closely at 5G performance across several intergovernmental organizations and trade blocs to get a better sense of how countries are performing in comparison to their neighbors and trade partners. We also calculated Time Spent on 5G, the proportion of time that users with 5G-capable devices spent on 5G, for each country.

Italy had the fastest 5G among G7 countries, U.S. the slowest

Italy had the fastest median download speed over 5G of all the G7 countries. Japan was second, Canada third, the U.K. fourth and Germany fifth. The U.S. had the highest Time Spent on 5G, followed by Canada. For a deeper analysis of 5G in the U.K., read our previous coverage. Because France launched commercially available 5G only within the last couple of weeks, we have not included it on this table.
5G-Performance-G7-Countries_1220

South Africa was the only country in the African Union with sufficient 5G to rate

As we saw above, South Africa’s impressive median download speed over 5G ranked the country third in the world during Q3 2020. South Africa was only one of two countries in the African Union to have commercially available 5G during Q3 2020. The other, Madagascar, did not have sufficient samples to properly analyze. Time Spent on 5G in South Africa was very low, an indication that 5G is not yet widely available there.
5G-Performance-Africa_1220

South Korea had the fastest 5G in APEC countries, U.S. the slowest

A median download speed over 5G of 411.11 Mbps put South Korea comfortably at the top of Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) countries with the fastest 5G during Q3 2020. Thailand was second, Australia third, China fourth and Taiwan fifth. 5G speeds represented the largest improvement over 4G in the Philippines where the median download speed over 4G during Q3 2020 (9.36 Mbps) was substantially lower than that of other countries on this list.

South Korea and the U.S. tied for highest Time Spent on 5G among APEC countries during Q3 2020, followed by Hong Kong and Taiwan.
5G-Performance-APEC_1220

Spain had the fastest 5G in the E.U., Poland the slowest

Spain showed the fastest median download speed over 5G among the 11 European Union (E.U.) countries with sufficient 5G samples to rank during Q3 2020. Hungary was second, Finland third, Romania fourth and Ireland fifth. Spain’s median download speed over 5G also represented the largest gain over 4G among all of these countries, partially because Spain had the second slowest median download speed over 4G. France is not included on this list because 5G did not become commercially available in the country until after Q3 2020.

The Netherlands had the highest Time Spent on 5G among E.U. countries during Q3 2020, indicating that customers with 5G phones are able to spend far more time on 5G there than in other E.U. countries. Denmark was second for Time Spent on 5G among EU countries in Q3 2020 and Finland third.
5G-Performance-EU_1220

U.A.E had the fastest 5G in Gulf Cooperation Council Countries

With the second fastest median download speed over 5G in the world, U.A.E. was also the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) country with the fastest 5G during Q3 2020. Saudi Arabia was second and Qatar third. While Oman does have commercially available 5G, there were insufficient samples in the country during Q3 2020 to properly analyze performance.

5G represented the largest improvement over 4G in Kuwait and Bahrain, countries that had slower median download speeds over 4G than their neighbors.

Time Spent on 5G was relatively high in all the GCC countries on this list, except Bahrain, when compared to other countries in the world during Q3 2020. Qatar showed the highest Time Spent on 5G among GCC countries in Q3 2020 at 16.0%. U.A.E. was second and Saudi Arabia third.
5G-Performance-GCC_1220

Brazil was the only MERCOSUR country with sufficient 5G to rate

Brazil’s median download speed over 5G of 84.60 Mbps during Q3 2020 may not seem fast for 5G, but it still puts Brazil well ahead of other countries in the Southern Common Market (MERCOSUR), most of which do not yet have 5G at all. We did see 5G results in Colombia, but there were insufficient samples to properly compare.

Time Spent on 5G in Brazil during Q3 2020 was not quite one percent, indicating that customers do not have much access to 5G yet.
5G-Performance-MERCOSUR_1220

The U.S., Europe and Asia see widespread 5G coverage

Data from Cell Analytics™ shows a global view of 5G coverage in Q3 2020. This map, based on 5G connectivity data for opted-in Speedtest users, shows that 5G is spreading rapidly across the U.S., Europe, the Arabian Peninsula and Asia. In other regions, 5G is primarily available in larger cities, if at all.
Global-5G-Coverage_1220

99 countries worldwide had 5G, in 14,643 total cities

The number of countries with 5G deployments increased 62.3% between Q3 2019 and Q3 2020, with 99 countries having 5G deployments at the end of Q3 2020, according to the Ookla 5G Map™. There were 14,643 cities worldwide with 5G deployments at the end of Q3 2020, a 1,671% increase over Q3 2019. The total number of deployments worldwide was 17,046. The counts here and throughout this section include commercially available 5G as well as 5G networks with limited availability and those in pre-release.

Countries with the Most 5G Cities
Ookla 5G Map™ | Q3 2020
Country Numbers of Cities with 5G
United States 7,583
Germany 2,312
Austria 1,104
Netherlands* 1,009
Switzerland 554
Thailand* 325
Ireland 214
Puerto Rico 187
United Kingdom 169
Kuwait 97

The U.S. had the most cities with 5G deployments at the end of Q3 2020 with 7,583. Germany was second, Austria third, the Netherlands fourth and Switzerland fifth. A deployment is when a provider has some level of 5G presence in a city. A city can have multiple deployments when more than one provider is present.

Countries with the Largest Growth in Number of Deployments
Ookla 5G Map™ | Q3 2020
Country 5G Deployments as of Q3 2020 % Change Q3 2020 vs Q3 2019
Netherlands* 1,071 50,350%
Thailand* 451 32,401%
United States 7,808 21,566%
Germany 2,417 11,460%
Canada* 93 7,600%
Austria 1,173 4,918%
Ireland 236 4,180%
Poland 81 3,150%
Japan* 75 2,050%
Oman 50 2,000%

The Netherlands showed the largest percentage change in the number of 5G deployments between Q3 2019 and Q3 2020 with a 50,350% jump from two deployments in Q3 2019 to 1,071 in Q3 2020. Thailand saw the second largest percentage increase, the U.S. third, Germany fourth and Canada fifth.

Most early trials and commercial deployments of 5G spectrum allocations around the world have been centered around fallow swaths of the mid-band (3.3 GHz – 4.2 GHz) spectrum. With the recent commercialization of Dynamic Spectrum Sharing (DSS) across all major 5G infrastructure vendors, there is now increasing demand for 5G support on many existing 4G frequencies, ranging from 600 MHz to 2.5 GHz. In unique 5G markets like Japan, there is an additional need for the 4.5 GHz band as well as the millimeter wave (FR2).

In the United States, early deployments leveraged millimeter wave frequency bands in the 28 GHz and the 39 GHz, which delivered impressive speeds in a very constrained footprint. The rapid 5G deployment in the 600 MHz band has added a substantial nationwide 5G footprint — and with that, much wider 5G availability for many more Americans. With the recent merger between T-Mobile and Sprint, the deployment of 2.5 GHz spectrum has been significantly accelerated, which should improve both network efficiency and user experience on T-Mobile’s network. Additionally, next year’s availability of 5G Carrier Aggregation will allow T-Mobile to combine 600 MHz with 2.5 GHz to deliver improved 5G speeds on top of the existing nationwide footprint. In addition, DSS has recently been deployed by AT&T and Verizon, which allows operators to choose from existing low-band spectrum assets (850 MHz) and deliver both LTE and 5G at the same time. This feature alone doesn’t add a significant boost in perceived user experience, but will certainly improve the 5G footprint.

China showed the highest percentage of 5G test samples

Another way to measure 5G adoption is to look at the proportion of samples taken over 5G relative to the total number of samples on all technologies. Speedtest Intelligence is uniquely positioned to measure global growth in 5G because of the worldwide adoption of Speedtest apps. China had the highest percentage of 5G Speedtest results compared to other mobile technology types in Q3 2020 at 18.9%. South Korea was second, Hong Kong third, Puerto Rico fourth and Qatar fifth.

Countries with the Most 5G
Speedtest Intelligence® | Q3 2020
Country 5G Samples as a % of Total
China 18.9%
South Korea 15.8%
Hong Kong (S.A.R.)* 7.9%
Puerto Rico 6.7%
Qatar 5.7%
United States 5.5%
Netherlands* 4.9%
United Arab Emirates 4.6%
Kuwait 4.6%
Australia 4.2%

What 5G will look like in 2021

With recently announced device chipset advancements expected in 2021, including 5G Carrier Aggregation, operators will be able to combine two 5G frequency bands in the sub-6GHz (FR1) range, allowing not only faster speeds, but also greater coverage. More importantly, the ability to combine Frequency Division Duplexing (FDD) and Time Division Duplexing (TDD) FR1 channels will enable operators to leverage low-band frequencies (sub-1GHz) for uplink transmissions (user device to cell site), while combining the low-band with the mid-band (2.5 GHz, 3.5 GHz) on the downlink. This should significantly expand the availability of fast 5G download speeds across larger geographies.

Similarly, DSS — which is a stepping stone to standalone 5G and allows for the simultaneous delivery of 4G and 5G technology on the same spectrum slice — will enable operators to combine already-deployed FDD spectrum with dedicated mid-band spectrum for an enhanced standalone 5G experience. This will unlock the full potential of 5G networks, such as ultra low latency and network slicing, while delivering an improved mobile experience to users.

Where 5G fails to reach

During Q3 2020 Speedtest Intelligence showed 55 countries in the world (with more than 200 samples) where more than 20% of samples were from 2G and 3G connections (combined). These are countries where, in many cases, 5G is still aspirational. As excited as we are about the expansion of 5G, we do not want to see these countries left behind.

Countries That Still Rely Heavily on 2G and 3G Connections
Speedtest Intelligence® | Q3 2020
Country 2G & 3G Samples 4G Samples
Turkmenistan 74.9% 25.1%
Rwanda 52.3% 47.7%
Iraq 49.4% 50.6%
Belarus 46.5% 53.5%
Afghanistan 46.0% 54.0%
Antigua and Barbuda 40.2% 59.8%
Tajikistan 40.2% 59.8%
Suriname 39.7% 60.3%
Haiti 37.7% 62.3%
Syria 37.5% 62.5%
Ghana 36.0% 64.0%
Ethiopia 35.0% 65.0%
Mozambique 34.7% 65.3%
Benin 34.3% 65.7%
Angola 34.1% 65.9%
El Salvador 32.5% 67.5%
Moldova 31.8% 68.2%
Venezuela 30.3% 69.7%
Tanzania 30.0% 70.0%
Papua New Guinea 29.5% 70.5%
Jamaica 29.4% 70.6%
Sudan 29.2% 70.8%
Algeria 29.0% 71.0%
Namibia 28.5% 71.5%
Zimbabwe 28.5% 71.5%
Somalia 28.4% 71.6%
Nicaragua 28.1% 71.9%
Armenia 28.1% 71.9%
Bosnia and Herzegovina 28.1% 71.9%
Uzbekistan 27.8% 72.2%
Cameroon 27.5% 72.5%
Zambia 27.4% 72.6%
Uganda 26.6% 73.4%
Trinidad and Tobago 26.6% 73.4%
Honduras 26.5% 73.5%
Bangladesh 26.3% 73.7%
Burkina Faso 26.0% 74.0%
Ukraine 25.8% 74.2%
Nigeria 25.7% 74.3%
DR Congo 24.6% 75.4%
Costa Rica 24.3% 75.7%
Botswana 24.1% 75.9%
Libya 22.9% 77.1%
Azerbaijan 22.9% 77.1%
Ecuador 22.8% 77.2%
Mali 22.4% 77.6%
Mongolia 21.8% 78.2%
Maldives 21.6% 78.4%
Mauritius 21.3% 78.7%
Tunisia 21.0% 79.0%
Belize 20.7% 79.3%
Laos 20.5% 79.5%
Kenya 20.3% 79.7%
Paraguay 20.1% 79.9%
Côte d’Ivoire 20.0% 80.0%

In markets where 4G layers haven’t been deployed or substantially covered, end users fall back to the circuit-switched network (2G, 3G). These decades-old network technologies should be sufficient for basic voice and texting, social media, and navigation apps, but cannot deliver rich media experiences or video calling. Unfortunately, many countries on this list are places where consumers rely primarily on mobile phones for their internet connectivity.

5G is radically changing the speeds and capabilities of mobile networks around the world. If the current growth rate continues, it won’t be long before most nations have access to 5G. But there are nations and subsets of subscribers who may not see the benefits of 5G for years to come. We will continue reporting on 5G achievements across the globe and watching speeds in general on the Speedtest Global Index™.

Ookla retains ownership of this article including all of the intellectual property rights, data, content graphs and analysis. This article may not be quoted, reproduced, distributed or published for any commercial purpose without prior consent. Members of the press and others using the findings in this article for non-commercial purposes are welcome to publicly share and link to report information with attribution to Ookla.

| October 1, 2019

How 5G is Changing the Global Mobile Landscape

Five months ago, we started using the Ookla 5G MapTM to track 5G across the world. In the months since, 5G deployments have increased exponentially — where we saw 294 around the world in May, today there are more than that in Switzerland alone. Today we’re exploring where 5G is gaining the most traction, including an analysis of how much faster 5G is than 4G in various markets.

Countries with the most 5G deployments

The Ookla 5G Map reveals that Switzerland is winning the race of 5G expansion with more than twice as many commercially available deployments as second-place South Korea. Kuwait has the third largest number of 5G deployments in the world.

Ookla_Countries-with-the-most-5G-deployments-2

It’s interesting to note that of the world’s six largest economies, three do not have commercially available 5G at all (China, Japan and India). China does have 29 locations where 5G is in pre-release (with 5G network hardware in place but not yet accessible to consumers). Japan is expected to launch 5G in 2020 and 5G will likely be available in India in 2021.

The other three largest economies (the U.S., Germany and the U.K.) do feature among the 10 countries with the most commercially available 5G deployments, although they individually have many fewer deployments than Switzerland, South Korea and Kuwait.

5G downloads are at least 300% faster than 4G

In theory, 5G could eventually offer download speeds about 1300% faster than those on 4G. Real-world factors affect those numbers, though, so we examined data from Speedtest IntelligenceTM to see what consumers actually experienced in several key markets between June and August 2019.

Comparing Mean Speeds on 5G and 4G
Speedtest Results | June-August 2019
Country 4G Download (Mbps) 4G Upload (Mbps) 5G Download (Mbps) 5G Upload (Mbps) % Difference Download
Australia 60.59 16.37 258.18 33.25 326.1%
Bahrain 28.80 13.43 311.41 29.43 981.3%
Kuwait 34.02 18.36 352.93 23.24 937.4%
Qatar 62.27 17.57 303.57 36.78 387.5%
Saudi Arabia 42.11 16.50 395.04 33.75 838.1%
South Korea 64.79 14.66 393.07 30.33 506.7%
Switzerland 50.65 20.10 362.75 43.12 616.2%
United Arab Emirates 59.23 20.12 334.27 32.07 464.4%
United Kingdom 31.03 11.47 181.87 18.34 486.1%
United States 34.33 9.98 477.42 21.93 1290.7%

The mean download speed over 5G was fastest in the U.S. and also showed the largest percent difference when compared with mean download speed over 4G. Saudi Arabia had the second fastest mean download speed over 5G with South Korea coming in a close third. On the other end of the spectrum, the U.K. had the slowest mean download speed over 5G. Australia was the second slowest and Bahrain third slowest. Bahrain showed the second highest percent improvement when comparing 4G and 5G download speeds, though, and Kuwait was third. Australia showed the lowest percent increase between 4G and 5G download speeds and Qatar had the second lowest.

Mean upload speeds over 5G are less remarkable, though in almost every country we analyzed they represent a 50-120% improvement over those available on 4G. Kuwait was the exception, with only a 26.6% improvement in mean upload speed when using 5G rather than 4G. The U.S. and Bahrain were nearly tied for most improved with increases of 119.7% and 119.1%, respectively, when comparing mean upload speed on 5G to that on 4G. Switzerland had the fastest mean upload speed over 5G, Qatar was second and Saudi Arabia third. Mean upload speed over 5G was the slowest in the U.K., second slowest in the U.S. and third slowest in Kuwait.

5G Share of 4G/5G Speedtest Samples
June-August 2019
Country % 5G
South Korea 12.72%
Australia 1.31%
United Arab Emirates 0.65%
Kuwait 0.64%
Switzerland 0.59%
Qatar 0.43%
United Kingdom 0.30%
United States 0.20%
Bahrain 0.09%
Saudi Arabia 0.03%

The 5G share of the tests taken on either 4G or 5G differs widely among the countries on our list. South Korea was clearly on top with 5G accounting for nearly 13% of Speedtest 4G/5G samples. This is not surprising given that one South Korean mobile operator already has 1 million 5G subscribers. Australia had the second largest percentage of 5G tests and the U.A.E. third. Saudi Arabia had the smallest percentage of 5G results.

Ookla is your go-to resource for ongoing 5G analysis

Ookla will continue to analyze 5G speeds as operators across the globe make this significant improvement in their networks. We’re uniquely capable of measuring 5G speeds because Speedtest uses a client and server testing engine capable of measuring high-speed connections (up to 10 Gbps) that dynamically scales the number of connections to the server in order to saturate and accurately measure the client-side connection. This allows us to measure the full extent of real-world performance and overcome the effects of network bottlenecks such as TCP slow start and means we are unique in our ability to measure 5G.

In addition, Ookla has partnered with operators and device manufacturers all over the world to implement accurate in-app 5G detection — even as Android Pie, which powers the current generation of 5G devices, does not natively identify 5G connection types. Through this approach, we’re able to properly configure the parameters of a Speedtest and measure 5G tests.

Keep watching this space for future analyses or contact us to learn more about how our data can help you.

To get a broader understanding of how 5G is changing the mobile landscape, read our previous coverage here:

Ookla retains ownership of this article including all of the intellectual property rights, data, content graphs and analysis. This article may not be quoted, reproduced, distributed or published for any commercial purpose without prior consent. Members of the press and others using the findings in this article for non-commercial purposes are welcome to publicly share and link to report information with attribution to Ookla.

| May 22, 2019

Measuring the Success of Government Broadband Efforts in Saudi Arabia, Australia and Ireland

At Ookla, we well know that as internet speeds are getting faster, end users’ speed expectations are rising and the volume of data consumed by those users is growing exponentially. Ensuring that the rollout of digital services is fair and balanced to populations regardless of location poses a regulatory and commercial dilemma. So far, providing internet services, and in particular high-speed broadband, in rural areas has proven difficult in numerous countries.

Fixed broadband infrastructure is complex and expensive enough that governments in some countries have helped by creating regulatory environments which encourage (and in some cases subsidize) internet providers rolling out high-speed internet. Here at Ookla we are often lucky enough to be in the front seat viewing how different countries and regulators approach this tricky subject. We’ve evaluated the outcomes of government-involved fiber rollouts in Saudi Arabia and Australia using Speedtest data. Based on lessons learned in both, we make predictions about the likely successes and pain points in the coming effort in Ireland.

Incentivizing world-class speeds in Saudi Arabia

Since 2018 Ookla has been providing the Ministry of Communications and Information Technology (MCIT) in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia with data to benchmark national internet speeds as part of a project to drive those speeds up. The Saudi Arabian Vision 2030 project is designed to transform the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia across all facets of commercial life and propel the economy forward. One of the key strategies is to ensure that the telecommunications and internet infrastructure is not just adequate but is one of the best in the world.

Unlike in other markets where governments engage in long and costly procurement processes to eventually choose a partner for infrastructural projects, the Saudi government has set about working directly with the incumbent operators to try and improve all underlying technologies. This includes setting ambitious speed and technology targets to be met by operators. Should the operators meet these targets, they can unlock financial incentives and grants.

This strategy has connected 1,000,000 homes to fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) services and resulted in a gigantic improvement in both fixed internet and mobile internet speeds in Saudi Arabia. Using data from Speedtest IntelligenceTM, we’ve seen Saudi Arabia’s mean download speed over fixed broadband increase 97.2% between January 2017 and December 2018. The country’s ranking on the Speedtest Global Index® also improved significantly, showing that Saudi Arabia’s fixed broadband speed was rising at a faster rate than several other countries during that time period.

Saudi-mean-speed-line-graphs-1

The histograms below show how widespread those improvements are. Whereas 29.0% of fixed broadband samples in Saudi Arabia during Q1 2018 showed mean download speeds of 5 Mbps or less, in Q1 2019 that number was down to 18.3%. We can also see that mean download speeds over 50 Mbps make up an increasing percentage of results. Each sample represents the cumulative test results for each unique device/user per location, per calendar day.

Ookla_Improvement_Mobile_Performance_Saudi_Arabia

What we see in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is what can be achieved when a regulator, government and operators all follow a direct course of action. In the context of global plans of this nature, the rate of improvement in Saudi Arabia is quicker than what we see in other markets.

Constructing a National Broadband Network in Australia

Australia took a much different approach than Saudi Arabia to try and solve a similar problem. In 2009, the NBN Co, an Australia Government Business Enterprise, set out to bridge the digital divide by supplying Australian residents fast and affordable broadband access regardless of their location. The intent was to construct an open-access broadband network under a wholesale approach where consumers purchase plans through any Internet Service Provider (ISP) utilizing the NBN network. A decade later, nearly 75% of Australian homes and businesses have access to this service and the expected completion date is currently slated for 2020.

According to Speedtest Intelligence, the average broadband download speed in Australia has seen a steady rise over the past year and a 60.1% increase from January 2017 to December 2018. However, more aggressive competition and speed increases by other countries have left Australia with a declining rank on the Speedtest Global Index.

Aus-mean-speed-line-graphs-1

Looking at the distribution of speeds, Australians saw a decline in the percentage of samples achieving download speeds of 25 Mbps or slower between Q1 2018 and Q1 2019. Whereas 66.0% of fixed broadband samples had a mean download speed of 25 Mbps or slower in Q1 2018, that number fell 24.8% to 49.6% in Q1 2019. Correspondingly, there was an increase in results in the 25-50 Mbps range during the same period, rising 62.0% from 20.5% of samples to 33.2%. Looking at samples at the highest end of the scale in Australia, the percentage of samples achieving speeds of 50 Mbps or more increased 26.7% from 13.5% of samples to 17.1%.

Ookla_Improvement_Mobile_Performance_Australia

Many Australian consumers are unhappy with the quality and type of service they are receiving on the NBN network. One major struggle is due to the Multi-Technology Mix (MTM) approach used by NBN Co from the beginning. Over the past ten years, the network has adapted three separate approaches at different times in different locations: fiber-to-the-premises (FTTP), fiber-to-the-node (FTTN) and fiber-to-the-curb (FTTC), each having vastly different capabilities. As such, quality of service for consumers depends significantly on location. Maintenance costs will also be an issue in years to come because of the mix of technologies and the continued use of degrading copper wires.

Leading up to the Australian federal elections held on May 18th, the Labor party proposed a solution to these current NBN complications through an economic review of the project and plans to upgrade technologies. The party pressed the need for improvement to FTTN households and a financially responsible future for the NBN. Because of the contentious nature of the NBN, many speculated that Labor might win the election. Surprisingly, the Liberal party won out. It remains to be seen what this says for the NBN going forward. The Liberal party has emphasized a shift away from FTTP to a multi-technology approach to connect more homes more quickly and for less money, but FTTC and FTTN offer slower internet speeds than FTTP and could result in further expense to maintain copper wiring down the line.

As of March 2019, only three states and territories are likely to achieve the intended speed capabilities (50 Mbps) once the project completes in 2020: New South Wales, Victoria and the Northern Territory. Other regions in Australia do not expect to see more than 85% of premises reaching the 50 Mbps range which causes consumers continued doubt whether they will strike the lottery in terms of broadband speed.

Ireland’s newest effort to improve rural speeds

As large countries with a predominantly urban populace but rural communities that need internet access, Saudi Arabia and Australia have a lot in common with Ireland. In fact, Ireland has been through numerous iterations of national broadband schemes over the past 15 years. Despite Ireland’s small size it has a large broadband divide, with over 540,000 homes unable to access a reasonable fixed line broadband service. Many use mobile or wireless alternatives outside of urban areas. These alternatives often mean lower speeds at increased prices.

Ireland-mean-speed-line-graphs-1

Although an 80.1% increase in mean download speed over fixed broadband from January 2017 to December 2018 and an improving Irish rank on the Speedtest Global Index look healthy for a country of its size, the large number of homes that have no credible access makes the average an incomplete way to look at Ireland’s issues. In Q1 2018, 75.3% of samples in Ireland were receiving speeds of 50 Mbps or slower. In Q1 2019, that number had only decreased 5.8% to 70.9% of samples. The percentage of samples with mean download speeds between 50 and 100 Mbps increased 10.8% from 14.8% to 16.4%. Samples above 100 Mbps increased 28.3% from 9.9% in Q1 2018 to 12.7% in Q1 2019.

Ookla_Improvement_Mobile_Performance_Ireland

Recently the Irish state appointed a preferred bidder after a procurement process to subsidize a fiber network to 540,000 homes. This project is to be rolled out over the next 7 years. Oddly the process saw all but one of the prospective bidders pull out before its conclusion, which raised numerous questions as to the viability of the underlying plan. The current estimated cost to the Irish taxpayer is €2.1 billion. However, unlike in the Saudi Arabian and Australian markets, the resulting network will be owned and controlled not by the state or one of the current consumer telecoms firms but by the preferred bidder. Regardless, it is planned that the network will operate as an underlying wholesale network, similar to NBN in Australia.

The timing of the announcement of the preferred bidder, the probable costs and the ownership structure (weeks in advance of local and European elections) has led to speculation that there was a political motive to the announcement and that Ireland is still some time away from solving its internet black spots.

Speedtest Intelligence is a resource for many governments as they work to improve access and speeds for their citizens. Learn more about our global performance metrics.

Ookla retains ownership of this article including all of the intellectual property rights, data, content graphs and analysis. This article may not be quoted, reproduced, distributed or published for any commercial purpose without prior consent. Members of the press and others using the findings in this article for non-commercial purposes are welcome to publicly share and link to report information with attribution to Ookla.