Isla McKetta | October 31, 2017

LinkNYC Proves Public Wi-Fi Can be Free, Fast and Far-reaching

Two years ago, LinkNYC set out to provide New Yorkers with free Wi-Fi using a network of Links that offer “superfast, free public Wi-Fi, phone calls, device charging and a tablet for access to city services, maps and direction.” The experiment worked, and we’re here to report on how fast the network really is, whether it holds up to heavy use and which parts of the city are seeing the most benefit.

What is LinkNYC?

LinkNYC uses kiosks (“Links”) to provide internet connectivity to the five boroughs (Manhattan, Brooklyn, Queens, the Bronx, and Staten Island). The project resulted from a competition initiated by the New York City government to find a new use for the City’s payphones. Service at the first 500 Links was available by the end of 2015. One thousand, one hundred and sixty-four are active as of this writing with another 215 installed and awaiting final connection. The project aims to have 7,500 Links online by the end of 2023. Each link is connected to the LinkNYC fiber network and is capable of speeds up to 1 Gbps. The Links use 802.11ac Wave 2 access points with support for 4×4:4 MU-MIMO.

LinkNYC was created by CityBridge, a consortium of companies including Intersection (a portfolio company of Alphabet Inc.’s Sidewalk Labs), Qualcomm and CIVIQ Smartscapes. Beyond a $300 million capital investment from CityBridge, LinkNYC is funded through advertising revenues from ads shown on screens on the Links themselves and is projected to create more than $500 million in revenue for the City of New York.

How fast is fast?

Speedtest data reveals LinkNYC offered up a mean download speed of 158.98 Mbps and a mean upload of 123.01 Mbps in September 2017. This free network is faster by 74% and 165%, respectively, than New York City’s average download and upload speeds over mobile Wi-Fi. New York’s mobile Wi-Fi download and upload speeds for all networks combined are respectively 249% and 312% faster than those over cellular networks. That means LinkNYC users are seeing download speeds 511% faster than they would be if they were connecting on cellular networks. LinkNYC’s mean upload speed was 996% faster than cellular.

**New York City Speedtest Results**
September 2017
Connection Type	Mean Download (Mbps)	Mean Upload (Mbps)
LinkNYC Mobile Wi-Fi	158.98	123.01
Mobile Wi-Fi	90.89	46.27
Cellular	25.98	11.22

Even better, we can see that the speeds available on LinkNYC are improving rapidly. Though the Speedtest results fluctuate somewhat on a day-by-day basis, on January 1, 2017, the average download speed was 95.70 Mbps and the upload was 81.50 Mbps. On September 30, the daily average download speed peaked at 201.00 Mbps and the upload speed was 177.10 Mbps.

Sample Speeds by Day

These daily speeds likely reflect limitations of mobile devices, not those of the LinkNYC network.

One thing to note is that while the LinkNYC network is reportedly capable of 1 Gbps speeds, most mobile devices are not. The Speedtest results graphed above are likely limited by a world where the peak achievable speed for an iPhone 5 maxes out at around 100 Mbps and an iPhone 7 at around 560 Mbps.

To top it off, LinkNYC’s daily speeds are faster still than the averages for the U.S. as a whole. In September, we saw a mean download speed over mobile Wi-Fi of 66.25 Mbps in the U.S., while cellular came in at 23.98 Mbps. Mean upload speed over mobile Wi-Fi for the U.S. was 23.59 Mbps, while cellular was 8.38 Mbps.

Is it secure?

LinkNYC actually has two networks — one called “LinkNYC Free Wi-Fi” that’s open and available to all and “LinkNYC Private.” Hotspot 2.0-compatible devices are automatically prompted to join this second network which is protected using WPA2 encryption and Hotspot 2.0 technology which facilitates cellular-like roaming on capable devices. That means that once a phone joins the “LinkNYC Private” network, the phone’s connection to the network is handed off from access point to access point as a user moves throughout the city. Most carriers have offered Hotspot 2.0-capable phones since 2014 (T-Mobile has for much longer).

We can’t say for certain that the private network is secure, but the fact that it is encrypted likely makes it more secure than your average coffee shop connection. In light of the recently discovered global WPA2 vulnerability, we asked LinkNYC how vulnerable their network was. The response was: “The Link private network is not at risk. The combination of access point firmware and the network configuration assure the integrity of encrypted WPA2.”

Speeds over the two networks are similar with downloads over “LinkNYC Private” Hotspot 2.0 network just 9.4% faster than those on “LinkNYC Free Wi-Fi”. This could be due to the fact that newer phones are both more likely to offer faster speeds and to be Hotspot 2.0-ready as well as the fact that fewer users are accessing this second network.

**LinkNYC Speedtest Results**
January 1 – October 11, 2017
Connection Type	Mean Download (Mbps)	Mean Upload (Mbps)
LinkNYC Free Wi-Fi	131.84	100.97
LinkNYC Private	144.21	106.98

Do speeds hold up during peak periods?

Yes, yes they do. The graph below shows that even during periods with the highest volume of tests (from 3-4 p.m.), the LinkNYC network maintains peak download speeds. The slowest download speeds, seen from 5-6 a.m. and 8-9 a.m., still maintain an average download speed over 120 Mbps.

NUMBER OF TESTS BY DAY GRAPH

The far-reaching impact of LinkNYC

How many people are using it?

According to LinkNYC, the network sees 300,000 users per day. We saw 19,289 Speedtest tests taken with Speedtest over the LinkNYC network from 7,594 unique users from January 1, 2017 through October 11, 2017. This compares with the 2,436,040 Speedtest results from 322,851 users on all mobile Wi-Fi networks in New York City during the same period.

Where can you get it?

As described above, Links are rolling out rapidly. You can see the current map of available Links here, but we found that the map at today’s writing corresponds closely with the map of Speedtest results we’ve seen over the past year.

SPEEDTEST RESULTS ON AVAILABLE LINKS

Much of Manhattan is covered by Links, with the exception of Washington Heights north of the George Washington Bridge and lower Manhattan below Worth St. Links are sparser in the Bronx with nothing north of West Kingsbridge Road or east of Webster Ave. (north of 161st) and Third Ave. (south of 161st).

The alignment of Links along major thoroughfares becomes more obvious in Queens and Brooklyn. In this area, we see a large gap around Bushwick and Ridgewood with nothing south of 39th St. and Clarendon Rd. A whole swath of northeast Queens (bordered by Grand Central Parkway) also exists in a Link-free zone.

Meanwhile, in Staten Island you’ll find Links on sections of Hylan Blvd. and Richmond Rd. with a few scattered in between.

Links are required to have a range of at least 150 feet, although a spokesperson for LinkNYC reported a Speedtest result as fast as 80 Mbps at 400 feet. At either distance, people living in neighborhoods with a more sparse Link distribution may not have access near home.

PERFORMANCE MAP

The map above shows that speeds vary not by neighborhood but by distance from a Link.

Can I use it at home?

If you’re lucky enough to live near a Link, you actually can use it for your home internet; there’s nothing in the terms of service to say otherwise. But, unless you’re sitting within the unassisted range of a Link, we wouldn’t recommend it.

We were able to identify Speedtest results that were using extenders and/or repeaters to rebroadcast the service farther into a building, and those tests showed speeds 57% slower than New York’s 90.89 Mbps average for downloads over mobile Wi-Fi.

**LinkNYC Speedtest Results**
January 1–October 11, 2017
Connection Type	Mean Download (Mbps)	Mean Upload (Mbps)
Unsampled Results from Extenders and Repeaters	38.87	30.71
Overall LinkNYC Results	158.98	123.01

Approaches to municipal Wi-Fi

LinkNYC’s ad-based, public-private partnership is only one approach to municipal Wi-Fi. In Leiden, Netherlands, a non-profit organization set up an independent, community-based network run by volunteers. Venice offers free Wi-Fi to all residents and Longmont, Colorado offers free municipal Wi-Fi in several locations, mostly parks, as part of their Gig City initiative.

LinkNYC isn’t the first free Wi-Fi network, but it’s one of the largest. And, despite some bumps along the way, it’s successfully bringing fast, free public Wi-Fi to the masses. The project is so successful that CityBridge has just extended the same model to London as InLinkUK.

Are you enjoying free mobile Wi-Fi on either LinkNYC or InLinkUK? Take a Speedtest on Android or iOS so we can share details about the performance of these networks over the long haul. Select the CityBridge server when taking your test to get the most accurate results.

Ookla retains ownership of this article including all of the intellectual property rights, data, content graphs and analysis. This article may not be quoted, reproduced, distributed or published for any commercial purpose without prior consent. Members of the press and others using the findings in this article for non-commercial purposes are welcome to publicly share and link to report information with attribution to Ookla.

About the Author

Isla McKetta

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Isla McKetta | December 20, 2021

Growing and Slowing: The State of 5G Worldwide in 2021

5G continues to offer new and exciting ways of rethinking everything from streaming video to performing remote surgery. However, not everyone shares equally in these possibilities as many countries do not have access to 5G and even those that do, do not experience the same level of performance from their 5G connections. We examined Speedtest Intelligence® data from Q3 2021 Speedtest® results to see how 5G speeds have changed, where download speeds are the fastest at the country and capital level, where 5G deployments have increased and what worldwide 5G Availability looked like in Q3 2021. We also looked at countries that don’t yet have 5G to understand where consumers are seeing improvements in 4G access.

5G slowed down at the global level

Median-Speeds-Worldwide_1221-01

It’s common to see new mobile access technologies slow down as adoption scales, particularly early on in the tech cycle. Over the past year from Q3 2020 to Q3 2021, the median global 5G download speed fell to 166.13 Mbps, down from 206.22 Mbps in Q3 2020. Median upload speed over 5G also slowed to 21.08 Mbps (from 29.52 Mbps) during the same period.

More users are logging on to existing 5G networks, and we’re also at the stage in the evolution of 5G where countries that have historically had slower speeds are starting to offer 5G. In addition, the widespread use of dynamic spectrum sharing that has been used to boost early 5G coverage weighs on 5G download speeds. While the dip in speeds looks like a letdown, it’s more of a compromise to enable broader access. With additional spectrum and further deployments slated for 2022, we anticipate speeds will begin to pick up again.

South Korea had the fastest 5G in the world

ookla_5g-download_performance_countries_1221-01-1

South Korea had the fastest median download speed over 5G during Q3 2021, leading a top 10 list that included Norway, United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Kuwait, Sweden, China, Taiwan and New Zealand. Sweden, China, Taiwan and New Zealand were new to the top 10 in 2021 while South Africa (whose 5G was brand new last year), Spain and Hungary fell out of the top 10.

5G expanded to 13 additional countries

According to the Ookla® 5G Map^™, there were 5G deployments in 112 countries as of November 30, 2021. That’s up from 99 countries on the same date a year ago. The total number of deployments increased dramatically during the same time period with 85,602 deployments on November 30, 2021 compared to 17,428 on November 30, 2020, highlighting the degree to which 5G networks scaled during the year. Note that there are often multiple deployments in a given city.

Seoul and Oslo lead world capitals for 5G

ookla_5g-download_performance_capitals_1221-01

Speedtest Intelligence data from Q3 2021 shows a wide range of median 5G speeds among global capitals. Seoul, South Korea and Oslo, Norway were in the lead with 530.83 Mbps and 513.08 Mbps, respectively; Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates; Riyadh, Saudi Arabia and Doha Qatar followed. Brasilia, Brazil had the slowest median download speed over 5G on our list, followed by Warsaw, Poland; Cape Town, South Africa and Rome, Italy. Stockholm, Sweden and Oslo, Norway had some of the the fastest median upload speeds over 5G at 56.26 Mbps and 49.95 Mbps, respectively, while Cape Town had the slowest at 14.53 Mbps.

The U.S. had the highest 5G Availability

The presence of 5G is only one indicator in a market, because even in markets where 5G has launched, coverage and adoption can be pretty low. We analyzed 5G Availability to see what percent of users on 5G-capable devices spent the majority of their time on 5G, both roaming and on-network during Q3 2021.

ookla_5g-availability_countries_1221-01

The United States had the highest 5G Availability at 49.2%, followed by the Netherlands (45.1%), South Korea (43.8%), Kuwait (35.5%) and Qatar (34.8%). Brazil had the lowest 5G Availability on our list at 0.8%, followed by Sweden (1.5%), South Africa (2.7%), New Zealand (2.9%) and Hungary (3.6%).

Not all 5G networks are created equal

Ookla Speedtest Intelligence data shows a growing disparity in the performance of 5G networks worldwide, even among the pioneer markets who were among the first to launch the new technology. We see leading markets such as South Korea, Norway, the UAE and China pulling well ahead of key European markets, the U.S. and Japan on 5G download speeds, creating what increasingly looks like two tiers of 5G markets.

ookla_5g-download_performance_1221-01

Part of the reason for this divergence is access to key 5G spectrum bands, with Verizon and AT&T in the U.S. for example, soon to deploy their C-band spectrum holdings for 5G use. However, what really seems to separate these markets is the level of 5G network densification. The number of people per 5G base station ranges from 319 in South Korea and 1,531 in China, to 4,224 in the EU and 6,590 in the US, according to the European 5G Observatory’s International Scoreboard during October 2021.

Despite the noise around 6G, 5G still has a long way to run

Median 5G mobile download speeds across these markets are respectable relative to the International Telecommunication Union’s (ITU) IMT-2020 target of 100 Mbps for user experienced download data rates. However, 5G Speedtest® results in each market demonstrate significant variability, with the bottom 10th percentile only recording speeds in excess of the IMT-2020 target in South Korea and Norway, and falling significantly short in many other markets, with Spain, Italy and the U.S. below 20 Mbps.

The story gets worse for upload speeds, where no market’s median speed broke the IMT-2020 recommended 50 Mbps, and where the bottom 10th percentile lay in single digits across the board. Operators are clearly prioritizing download speeds over upload, which makes sense given the asymmetric nature of demand, with most consumer applications requiring higher download speeds. However, as operators increasingly look to target the enterprise market with 5G connectivity and consumer demand for services such as video calling and mobile gaming continues to rise, operators will need to boost upload speeds.

ookla_5g-upload_performance_1221-01-1

Demand for mobile internet bandwidth continues to grow, up 43% year-on-year in Q3 2021 according to Ericsson’s latest mobility report. Looking ahead to 2022, operators will need to increase the capacity of their 5G networks to tackle this growing demand while driving network speeds to new heights. We’ve seen the impact the deployment of new spectrum can have on congested networks during 2021, with Reliance Jio witnessing a bump in 4G LTE performance and consumer sentiment following its acquisition of additional spectrum in India.

Where 5G still fails to reach

Speedtest Intelligence showed 70 countries in the world where more than 20% of samples were from 2G and 3G connections (combined) during Q3 2021 and met our statistical threshold to be included. These are mostly countries where 5G is still aspirational for a majority of the population. As excited as we are about the expansion of 5G, we do not want to see these countries left behind. Not only are 2G and 3G decades old, they are only sufficient for basic voice and texting, social media and navigation apps. To deliver rich media experiences or video calling, users need access to 4G or higher. Having so many consumers on 2G and 3G also prevents mobile operators from refarming that spectrum to make 4G and 5G networks more efficient.

Countries That Still Rely Heavily on 2G and 3G Connections

Speedtest IntelligenceⓇ | Q3 2021

Country	2G & 3G Samples
Central African Republic	89.9%
Palestine	84.7%
Yemen	72.4%
Turkmenistan	71.8%
Micronesia	56.3%
Madagascar	55.0%
Belarus	53.2%
Rwanda	51.7%
Kiribati	48.4%
Equatorial Guinea	47.6%
Afghanistan	44.4%
South Sudan	43.4%
Guyana	42.3%
Guinea	37.0%
Angola	36.8%
Cape Verde	35.9%
Tajikistan	35.6%
Zimbabwe	34.7%
Benin	34.4%
Togo	33.8%
Ghana	33.0%
Sierra Leone	31.7%
Antigua and Barbuda	30.2%
Vanuatu	30.1%
Lesotho	30.0%
Syria	29.6%
Moldova	29.4%
Saint Kitts and Nevis	28.9%
Mozambique	28.8%
Sudan	28.4%
Palau	28.3%
Grenada	28.1%
Tanzania	27.6%
Uganda	27.5%
Niger	27.5%
Gabon	27.5%
Haiti	27.4%
Suriname	27.4%
Tonga	27.3%
Liberia	27.0%
Namibia	26.7%
Swaziland	26.5%
The Gambia	26.3%
Saint Vincent and the Grenadines	26.3%
Dominica	26.3%
Somalia	26.1%
Cook Islands	26.0%
Zambia	25.9%
Barbados	25.7%
Armenia	25.5%
Algeria	25.4%
Papua New Guinea	25.2%
Jamaica	24.5%
Venezuela	24.2%
Ethiopia	24.1%
Uzbekistan	24.0%
El Salvador	23.5%
Honduras	23.1%
Nigeria	23.0%
Solomon Islands	22.8%
Caribbean Netherlands	22.7%
Botswana	22.3%
Anguilla	21.7%
Mauritania	20.6%
Saint Lucia	20.5%
Bosnia and Herzegovina	20.3%
Burundi	20.3%
Ecuador	20.2%
Ukraine	20.1%
Trinidad and Tobago	20.0%

We were pleased to see the following countries come off the list from last year, having dropped below the 20% threshold: Azerbaijan, Bangladesh, Belize, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Costa Rica, Côte d’Ivoire, DR Congo, Iraq, Kenya, Laos, Libya, Maldives, Mali, Mauritius, Mongolia, Nicaragua, Paraguay and Tunisia. While countries like Palestine, Suriname, Ethiopia, Haiti and Antigua and Barbuda are still on this list, they have improved the percentage of their samples on these outmoded technologies when compared to last year (dropping 10-15 points, respectively), 2G and 3G samples in Belarus increased 6.7 points when comparing Q3 2021 to Q3 2020.

We’re excited to see how performance levels will normalize as 5G expands to more and more countries and access improves. Keep track of how well your country is performing on Ookla’s Speedtest Global Index^™.

About the Author

Isla McKetta

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Mark Giles | June 17, 2024

ISPs Driving Transformation in Broadband Performance Across the Caribbean

ISPs in the Caribbean have helped drive a step-change in performance across the region over the past four years. Fiber is at the forefront of this change, helping drive performance gains in terms of throughput and latency in leading markets such as Trinidad and Tobago, Bermuda, and the Cayman Islands, while Starlink’s LEO service is gaining a foothold in a number of islands too. Outside the leading Caribbean markets, performance varies significantly, but even among those lagging the regional average are advancing rapidly.

Key takeaways

Growing availability of faster broadband across the Caribbean. The last four years have seen a transformation in broadband performance in the Caribbean. Across the markets in this analysis, network Consistency – the share of Speedtest samples exceeding a threshold of 25 Mbps download and 3 Mbps upload – increased from 45.3% in Q1 2020, to 73.3% as of Q1 2024.
Fiber adoption driving performance gains. Trinidad and Tobago, Bermuda, and the Cayman Islands led the Caribbean region on fixed broadband performance, recording median download speeds of 110.26 Mbps, 109.79 Mbps, and 104.88 Mbps, respectively during Q1 2024. Strong fiber performance from a number of ISPs, including Digicel+ (across a range of markets), Amplia (Trinidad and Tobago), as well as Flow, Logic, and C3 Pure Fiber (Cayman Islands), helped drive this, with all recording median download speeds approaching or above 100 Mbps.
Latency performance varies hugely across the Caribbean. Key for real-time applications such as online gaming and video calling, latency performance varied significantly across the region. Thanks to the availability of fiber to most broadband users, markets such as Trinidad and Tobago hit median latency lows of just 15 ms in Q1 2024, while at the other end of the scale, markets such as Aruba and Haiti struggled with median latency approaching 100 ms.
Markets behind the curve are quickly catching up. The majority of Caribbean markets currently below the regional average for fixed network Consistency are catching up fast, led by markets such as the Dominican Republic, Sint Maarten, and the British Virgin Islands, which all increased network Consistency by more than 25 percentage points over the last two years.

Fixed network performance varies dramatically across the Caribbean

Ookla Speedtest Intelligence® data shows a wide disparity in median fixed broadband performance across Caribbean markets, ranging from lows of 2.72 Mbps and 25.21 Mbps in Cuba and Sint Maarten respectively, to highs of 110.26 Mbps and 109.79 Mbps in Trinidad and Tobago, and Bermuda respectively. Median upload performance mimicked this trend, with a low of 1.02 Mbps for Cuba and a high of 89.15 Mbps in the Cayman Islands.

Fixed Broadband Performance Across Caribbean Markets
Speedtest Intelligence® | Q1 2024

Latency performance showed even greater variance, with some markets being able to access high-speed international links, and with others relying on multiple hops of undersea cables. Eight of the markets we examined recorded median multi-server latency below 50ms, with Trinidad and Tobago leading with 15ms, followed closely by Curaçao with 16ms. At the other end of the scale, a cluster of nine markets recorded latency ranging from 71 ms to 95 ms, while Cuba was the only market with median latency greater than 100 ms, recording 133 ms in Q1 2024. This marks an improvement year-on-year, down from 164 ms in Q1 2023, with the Arimao submarine cable (connecting Cuba to Martinique), helping drive some improvement, however, the island’s aging telecoms infrastructure continues to hold it back.

Fiber is the natural next step for many Caribbean ISPs

A number of Caribbean ISPs, led by groups such as Digicel, are transitioning to fiber access across their fixed operations. The transition from legacy broadband access technology to more modern, faster connections such as fiber takes time. In addition to network rollout and the significant public works this entails, operators and regulators need to ensure users are given enough incentive and education on the benefits of technologies such as fiber, in order to help drive adoption. Digicel+ in Bermuda stands out as a clear leader in the region on median download performance, followed by Digicel+ in Trinidad and Tobago. Beyond Digicel+, Logic, and C3 Pure Fiber in the Cayman Islands, and Amplia in Trinidad and Tobago all offered median download speeds approaching 100 Mbps.

ISP Fiber Performance, Caribbean Markets
Speedtest Intelligence® | Q1 2024

Drive for broadband expansion puts leading Caribbean markets on par with the U.S. and Canada

Caribbean ISPs have made great strides in advancing the rollout of broadband services over the last four years. Ookla uses the network Consistency metric to gauge how prevalent acceptable broadband speeds are across a network, based on the percentage of Speedtest samples exceeding a threshold of 25 Mbps download and 3 Mbps upload performance. Cuba was rooted to the foot of the table based on Consistency, with just 4.0% of samples exceeding the threshold. Of the remaining Caribbean markets in this analysis, network Consistency climbed from 45.3% in Q1 2020 to 73.3% in Q1 2024.

The majority of Caribbean nations in this analysis recorded Consistency above 70% as of Q1 2024, with leading Caribbean nations such as Bermuda, Trinidad and Tobago, the Cayman Islands, Puerto Rico, and Barbados posting Consistency values approaching those of more advanced fixed markets in the Americas, such as the U.S. (89.8%) and Canada (88.7%).

Fixed Broadband Consistency Across Caribbean Markets
Speedtest Intelligence® | Q1 2024

This positive trajectory looks set to continue for many markets at the lower end of the scale too, as they look to catch up with their peers. The vast majority of those Caribbean markets recording less than 75% Consistency in Q1 2024, had increased their Consistency significantly over the past two years, led by Haiti, Sint Maarten, the British Virgin Islands and the Dominican Republic.

Change in Fixed Network Consistency, Select Caribbean Markets
Speedtest Intelligence® | Q1 2022 vs Q1 2024

Leading Caribbean markets face slowing Consistency growth and competition from non-traditional fixed ISPs

We see a mixed picture for leading Caribbean nations on further increases in network Consistency as they begin to approach other leading markets globally. Despite strong fixed broadband performance in many Caribbean markets, increases in network Consistency have been relatively static in some, including Bermuda, Aruba, and Grenada, which all saw network Consistency increase by less than 3 percentage points in the last two years. This indicates a tranche of users in these markets remain below the 25 Mbps download and 3 Mbps upload performance thresholds used in our measure of Consistency.

While growth will naturally slow as markets approach nationwide availability of fixed broadband services exceeding 25 Mbps download and 3 Mbps upload, operators in these markets need to zero in on locations where performance lags the rest of the market and identify root causes. For regulators, the priority may lie in encouraging the sunsetting of legacy fixed technologies, and facilitating the rollout and adoption of faster technologies such as fiber.

Change in Fixed Network Consistency, Leading Caribbean Markets
Speedtest Intelligence® | Q1 2022 vs Q1 2024

LEO satellite broadband is emerging as a viable home broadband alternative

We are beginning to see some alternative fixed broadband technologies make inroads within the Caribbean, following on the heels of their success in North America. While we see some instances of GEO and MEO satellite internet use across the Caribbean, the majority of satellite internet within the region, based on Speedtest samples, is from Starlink’s LEO service. Over the course of the last year (comparing Q1 2024 with Q1 2023), samples from Starlink among the markets in this analysis grew by 85.8%, and it continues to expand its service availability across Caribbean markets. According to its website, Starlink operates across a range of Caribbean markets, and of those included in this analysis, it is available in the Bahamas, Barbados, the Dominican Republic, Haiti, Jamaica, Puerto Rico, Trinidad and Tobago, and the U.S. Virgin Islands.

Starlink performed on par with, or faster than, the median download speed in each market it operated within, recording significant leads in the U.S. Virgin Islands and the Bahamas. However, Starlink does tend to lag the rest of the market on upload speeds and latency. While the cost of Starlink equipment and its subscriptions are often higher than for terrestrial broadband options, which will put it out of reach of some broadband users, it offers a viable alternative, especially in locations where legacy fixed broadband access is still prevalent, and where users prefer faster download performance.

Starlink Performance, Median Download Speed, Mbps
Speedtest Intelligence® | Q1 2024

With a range of cellular providers launching 5G across the Caribbean, we may begin to see 5G fixed-wireless (FWA) access begin to take root, as it has done in the U.S. Given the wide range of performance across the Caribbean, 5G FWA could offer users an uplift in speeds versus traditional fixed networks, and it will give cellular providers the opportunity to upsell home internet services to their existing mobile customer bases. While it’s still early days for these rival technologies, we’ll continue to monitor their progress and provide updates on the state of fixed broadband connectivity across the Caribbean. For more information about Ookla’s data and insights, please get in touch.

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Mark Giles

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Sylwia Kechiche | June 15, 2022

Malaysian 5G is Still Up in the Air as 4G Becomes Ubiquitous

The fact that Malaysian consumers are still waiting for nationwide 5G hasn’t stopped mobile providers from implementing other network improvements to provide better performance in the interim. This article explores how Malaysia compares to other major markets in Southeast Asia for mobile network performance and availability. We also analyze the current state of Malaysia’s mobile market. This includes 4G speeds and 4G Availability, insights into regional coverage, and what 5G looks like across the regions during the initial roll out phase in Malaysia.

Key takeaways

When comparing 4G performance across select South Eastern Asian markets, in terms of median 4G download speeds, Singapore comes first at 44.11 Mbps, ahead of Vietnam (34.89 Mbps) in Q1 2022. For upload speeds, the ranking is reversed for the top two: Vietnam is top with 17.49 Mbps, followed by Singapore at 11.62 Mbps.
4G Availability across the seven Southeast Asian countries is above 80%. Singapore leads, achieving 94.5% 4G Availability in Q1 2022, followed by Malaysia (92.3%).
Across Malaysia, 4G Availability increased from 86.7% in Q1 2021 to 92.3% in Q1 2022. This is predominantly driven by two factors: increased availability of networks and devices.
In Malaysia, Digi had the fastest 4G download speeds; Maxis won on upload.
Putrajaya had the highest 4G Availability across the regions with 96.4% of tested locations showing access to 4G during Q1 2022.
The 5G rollout in Malaysia is still facing challenges. The 5G wholesale network is not yet fully commercialized and there are ongoing discussions around operators joining in.

Fastest 4G speeds were in Singapore, while the fastest LTE upload speeds were in Vietnam

Using Speedtest Intelligence® data, we compared Malaysia’s 4G performance against that of its regional peers in Q1 2022. Singapore came first with 44.11 Mbps median 4G download speed ahead of Vietnam (34.89 Mbps), followed by Thailand (24.86 Mbps) and Malaysia (22.41 Mbps). Across Indonesia, the Philippines, and Cambodia, the 4G median speeds were well under 20 Mbps.

Vietnam performed well in the 4G download speeds ranking and it also had the highest median upload speed across the seven Southeast Asian countries surveyed – 17.49 Mbps, ahead of Singapore, which trailed at 11.62 Mbps.

It is also worth noting that the Vietnamese government promotes smartphone use. In July 2021, a telecom law, Circular 43, came into effect, which states that devices either imported to or made in Vietnam must support 4G technology. This stimulated customer migration to 4G technology. Furthermore, in December 2021, the Ministry of Information and Communication proposed that Vietnam stop using 2G and 3G technologies from 2022 in a bid to propel digital transformation. The government has made provisions in a draft public utility telecommunication program in 2021–2025 to support “poor and near-poor households” and give them access to 2.1 million smartphones.

Other countries in the region, e.g. Malaysia and Indonesia, look to migrate users away from 3G too, and put in place initiatives to support that. For example, Malaysian government and operators introduced initiatives to help Malaysians, especially those in the B40 category (lower-income group, with a monthly household gross income of RM 1/$0.23–RM 4,850/ $1107 representing 40% of Malaysians) to get internet access and portable and affordable 4G-capable smart devices. These include Pakej Remaja Keluarga Malaysia and Pakej Peranti Keluarga Malaysia launched in October 2021, and the Pakej Perantisiswa Keluarga Malaysia, which is part of Budget 2022.

4G Availability above 80% across Southeast Asia

When it comes to 4G Availability — the proportion of users who spend the majority of their time on 4G technology — all countries surveyed were above the 80% mark in Q1 2022. Singapore lead, achieving 94.5% 4G Availability in Q1 2022. This isn’t surprising since as a condition of the 4G spectrum allocation, mobile operators were required to provide nationwide 4G outdoor service coverage by end of June 2016, and within road and Mass Rapid Transit (MRT) tunnels by June 30, 2018.

Malaysia ranked well too, propelled by government initiatives. As part of the12th Malaysia Plan (2021–2025), the government is implementing the Jalinan Digital Negara (Jendela) initiative, which aims to address the need and demand for better quality fixed and mobile broadband coverage. The objectives of the first phase are to increase 4G coverage from 91.8% to 96.9% by the end of 2022, mobile broadband speeds from a mean download speed of 25 Mbps to 35 Mbps, and switch-off 3G networks by the end of 2021. The next Phase, Phase 2 (initially planned for 2023–2025 but already kicked off with a roll out of 5G in Q4 2021) focuses on deploying 5G network services to boost digital connectivity nationwide.

4G Availability in Malaysia heading toward 100%

When comparing 4G Availability across operators in Malaysia, the differences are minor. At a country level, the average 4G Availability increased from 86.7% in Q1 2021 to 92.3% in Q1 2022. This was predominantly driven by two factors: increased availability of networks and devices.

Operators across Malaysia continue to roll out 4G to adhere to Jendela roll out targets. According to Jendela’s Q1 2022 report, the four main mobile broadband service providers have collectively achieved their Q1 2022 target by building 60 new 4G towers. Celcom beat targets by 25%, while Digi met 94% of its target as it encountered permit approval issues with the Sabah Local Council. 4G population coverage was also on track, increasing to 95.5% in Q1 2022, and is on a good path to achieve its 96.9% populated area coverage target by the end 2022.

In addition to setting up targets related to 4G network deployments to free up more spectrum for 4G, the Malaysian government expected to retire 3G spectrum at the end of 2021 but is yet to be completed. According to the Malaysian Communications and Multimedia Commission (MCMC), 20% of 3G sites still remained operational at the deadline. Flooding and the monsoon season are cited as the reasons for the delay in retiring 3G sites. Almost all 3G carriers will have completed shutdown by Q2 2022, except a few sites located in remote areas, which are set to be shut down in December 2022.

In terms of end user migration, 86.6% of 3G customers in Malaysia have already moved to 4G while the rest do “not see the need for the switch over.” The remaining users will be able to use their existing devices even after the network shutdown, but they will be connected to 2G, which will only serve their basic connectivity needs (SMS and voice calls). The operators’ support for customer migration away from 3G devices includes promotional offers on 4G-enabled devices and subscription plans. For instance, Maxis launched campaigns like “Zerolution” device plan and “Balas Budi dengan 4G” campaign to encourage 4G users to help their families and friends upgrade. Digi, on the other hand, initiated a nationwide campaign (#BuatLebihL4Gi) to drive awareness for customers to adopt 4G, coupled with affordable device plans to drive greater adoption. U Mobile encourages its customers to upgrade by offering an upgrade for as little as 99sen ($0.23).

Digi has the fastest 4G download speeds; Maxis wins on upload

We compared 4G performance in Q1 2022 across Malaysian operators using Speedtest Intelligence. Digi came first with a 28.08 Mbps median download speed. The operator reported that most of its MYR 815 million (US$185.42 million) capital expenditure in 2021 was spent to improve its 4G network to respond to increased data consumption (more than 20GB per user, up 8.9% versus 2020) and deliver on the Jendela commitments. U Mobile and Celcom were head to head in terms of median 4G download speeds at 20.09 Mbps and 20.02 Mbps, respectively.

The largest operator by number of subscribers — Maxis — came first when it comes to upload speeds, with a median upload speed of 10.59 Mbps, a 12% year-over-year increase. The operator invested MYR 1.2 billion ($273 million) in capex in 2021, with MYR 597 million ($136 million) in Q4 2021 alone, the highest in a single quarter.

Putrajaya leads 4G Availability performance for Malaysia’s regions

We explored 4G Availability in Malaysia’s 13 states and 3 federal territories using Speedtest data from Q1 2022. It is important to note that 4G Availability is not a direct reflection of 4G coverage. Instead, this is a reflection of the network technology, e.g. 4G users spend the majority of their time connected to. Putrajaya had the highest 4G Availability with 96.4% of tested locations showing access to 4G during Q1 2022, while the Federal Territory of Kuala Lumpur had the lowest 4G Availability at 87.2%. Kelantan, Terengganu, and Pahang witnessed over 10% increases in 4G Availability between Q1 2021 and Q1 2022. Looking at the operators’ 4G Availability during Q1 2022 across different geographic areas, 4G Availability didn’t statistically differ in most cases. However, there were a few exceptions: Maxis won in the Federal Territory of Kuala Lumpur, Pahang and Selangor, while U Mobile had the highest availability in Johor. Maxis has also committed to expanding its coverage in Sabah and Sarawak as stated by the Chief Network Officer.

4G performs well across all of Malaysia’s regions

Not only did availability improve across these regions, but speeds also increased. However there was no statistical winner in Q1 2022 for the fastest median 4G download and upload speeds across the provinces.

According to the Ministry of Communications and Multimedia (K-KOMM), Selangor has been a priority market in terms of funding; it received a high allocation of MYR 5.34 billion to upgrade telecommunications infrastructure. So far 313 new towers have been built and 7,197 transmitter stations upgraded to 4G already with 652 in progress.

Singapore led Southeast Asia on 5G speeds

While median 5G download speed was 246.01 Mbps in Q1 2022, this differed by operator with Singtel being the clear winner as it recorded 360.31 Mbps median download speed in Q1 2022. Singapore’s 5G story began in 2020 when two wholesale networks launched — Singtel and Antina (Starhub-M1 consortium). IMDA, Singapore’s telecom regulator, aims for 50% 5G coverage of Singapore by 2022 and nationwide 5G coverage by 2025. Singtel recently announced the first rollout for an MRT line, while its 5G indoor coverage is spread over 300 locations across the island, including all malls along the NEL, bringing indoor/outdoor coverage to 75% of Singapore. Singtel is also busy rolling out 5G Standalone (SA) in partnership with Ericsson running on 3.5 GHz spectrum. The other operators — StarHub and M1 — are also “on track” to roll out 5G services to MRT tunnels in the next few months and reach “nationwide outdoor 5G coverage” in 2022. In March 2022, StarHub reported its 5G network had more than 75% of outdoor coverage, with M1 claiming the same. In November 2021, Singaporean operators also received additional spectrum in the 2100 MHz band, in addition to the first tranche of 3.5 GHz spectrum issued in June 2020 for the deployment of 5G nationwide networks.

Cambodia’s 5G is expected in 2023; currently, there is no spectrum availability. In Vietnam, 5G was launched in 2020 but using spectrum assigned on a trial basis, and is not commercially available as of yet. With long-term spectrum availability still unclear, Vietnam is missing from the 5G ranking. Malaysia’s wholesale network is not yet fully commercialized, 5G is available in selected areas of Malaysia, so we excluded it from the ranking. Only two operators — Yes and Unifi Mobile — signed up for the free trial on the network when it was launched in December 2021. The network is expected to be fully commercialized in July 2022 by all Malaysian operators.

Thailand came first for 5G Availability in Southeast Asia

Speedtest Intelligence data put Thailand first in terms of 5G Availability (the proportion of users on 5G-capable devices who spend a majority of their time on 5G networks) among its regional peers. Thailand was one of the first markets to launch 5G in the Asia Pacific region, with AIS and TrueMove H both launching commercial 5G services inQ1 2020, shortly after the conclusion of the country’s 5G auction. AIS performed well when it comes to median 5G download speeds (261.19 Mbps download speed/40.57 Mbps upload speed) and it was the fastest operator in Thailand in Q1 2022. In our recent article, we concluded that the country’s regulator, The National Broadcasting and Telecommunications Commission (NBTC), has been instrumental in establishing Thailand as a leading 5G market in the region. In February 2020, NBTC assigned spectrum for 5G use across low- (700 MHz), mid- (2,600 MHz), and high- (26 GHz) frequency bands. It also plans a further auction of mid-band spectrum in 2022 in the 3.5 GHz band, which was vacated in September 2021 by Thaicom, a satellite provider.

In Indonesia, operators launched 5G in select cities in June 2021, which explains the very low 5G Availability in Q1 2022 at 0.37%.

Greater 5G Availability on the Malaysian horizon

The 5G situation in Malaysia is rather unique and requires a bit of an explanation. In February 2021, the Malaysian Ministry of Finance announced during the launch of the Prime Minister’s Malaysia Digital Economy Blueprint (MyDIGITAL) that a government-owned Special Purpose Vehicle (SPV) would be responsible for rolling out a nationwide single wholesale network (SWN) to deliver 5G. This led to the establishment of Digital National Berhad (DNB), responsible for the 5G network rollout and providing wholesale services to operators on an open, fair, and non-discriminatory basis over the next 10 years.

The DNB has been assigned spectrum in the 700 MHz, 3.5 GHz, and 26-28 GHz bands. Currently, the 5G network has been deployed utilizing 3.5 GHz spectrum across selected areas of Putrajaya, Cyberjaya, Johor and Selangor and Kuala Lumpur. However, the DNB has aggressive timelines to reach 80% of populated areas by 2024, while the goal is to cover 40% of the population by the end of 2022.

There are still a few pieces of the puzzle that need to fall into place before 5G can be widely available in Malaysia. First, in March 2022, the government upheld its position that the SWN will in fact be the model for the 5G network deployment. Despite backing an alternative — the Dual Wholesale Network (DWN) rather than SWN — the four leading telcos (Celcom Axiata, Digi, Maxis and U Mobile) have announced that they are supporting the government’s decision. On its part, the government offered up to 70% of DNB equity to operators, while it will retain a 30% stake. The four operators, although open to the proposal, would prefer to go through a merger and acquisition process. Only two local operators, Telekom Malaysia (TM) and YTL Communications, signed agreements to acquire an equity stake. The discussions are currently in place with a target date to be completed by the end of June 2022.

On March 31 2022, DNB Reference Access Offer (RAO) was released. Despite hopes that the concerns raised by the operators regarding the RAO could be sorted within weeks, there are still ongoing discussions around RAO. In a joint statement, the operators stated that RAO will not enable affordable and good quality 5G services.

The big four telecom operators are eager to provide commercial 5G services and test different 5G use cases. For instance, Maxis partnered with Malaysia Airports Holdings Berhad and Proton for 5G services and solutions, as well as the deployment of 5G use cases. The operator also launched a 5G and AI innovation lab.

We will continue to follow the Malaysian market to see how the 5G situation will unravel and how it affects their ranking among Southeast Asian countries. Once we know the outcome of the conversations regarding DNB we will be sure to comment on that. If you’d like to learn more about internet speeds and performance in other markets around the world, visit the Speedtest Global Index™.

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Sylwia Kechiche

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Mark Giles | January 30, 2022

5G in Thailand: AIS Leads the Market

AIS and TrueMove H drive early 5G adoption

Thailand was one of the first markets to launch 5G in the Asia Pacific region, with AIS and TrueMove H both launching commercial 5G services during Q1 2020, shortly after the conclusion of the country’s 5G auction. Driving 5G adoption in the market is one of the primary objectives for AIS and TrueMove H — both have begun reporting the number of 5G connections on their networks — and had each targeted 2 million by the end of 2021.

The regulator, The National Broadcasting and Telecommunications Commission (NBTC), has been instrumental in establishing Thailand as a leading 5G market in the region. In February 2020, NBTC assigned spectrum for 5G use across low (700 MHz), mid (2,600 MHz) and high (26 GHz) frequency bands, and plans a further auction of mid-band spectrum in 2022 in the 3.5 GHz band, which was vacated in September 2021 by a Thaicom, a satellite provider. In terms of operator allocations:

AIS was first to launch 5G services in the market in February 2020, having acquired licenses across low, mid and high-frequency bands, giving it a strong mix of coverage and capacity spectrum.
TrueMove H followed, launching 5G in March 2020, having acquired spectrum in both the mid and high-frequency bands.
dtac launched 5G services in Q1 2021, only utilizing low-frequency spectrum in the 700 MHz band.
State-owned operator National Telecom (NT), formed from the merger of CAT and TOT, is yet to launch 5G services in the market. NT brings together spectrum across both low and high frequency bands and was expected to reveal a 5G investment plan, which could include handing the spectrum back to the regulator, by the end of 2021. However NT is still to indicate its plans at this date.

5G performance varies by operator in Thailand

These significant differences in spectrum holdings between the Thai operators have helped to drive very different 5G performance profiles, particularly when comparing AIS and TrueMove H with dtac. AIS led the market on both median 5G download and upload speeds, recording 289.12 Mbps and 41.20 Mbps, respectively, in Q4 2021 according to [Speedtest Intelligence](https://www.ookla.com/speedtest-intelligence)® data. TrueMove H followed, with a median 5G download speed of 217.84 Mbps and upload of 27.49 Mbps. The lack of mid-band spectrum appears to be limiting dtac which showed a median 5G download speed of 35.73 Mbps and 18.78 Mbps upload.

Both AIS and TrueMove H maintained strong 5G Consistency Scores in Q4 2021, with well over 90% of Speedtest Intelligence samples on their 5G networks exceeding the threshold of 25 Mbps download and 3 Mbps upload, indicating widespread coverage of mid-band spectrum. dtac, on the other hand, recorded a much lower 5G Consistency Score, again driven by its lack of mid-band spectrum, with just under two-thirds of samples on its 5G network meeting the criteria.

5G Availability differentiates operators in Thailand

While AIS led on 5G performance and consistency, TrueMove H led the market for 5G Availability, the percentage of users on 5G-capable devices that spend a majority of time with access to 5G networks, with 34.9%, well above AIS with only 15.9%, and with dtac in the low single digits. Availability is normally a good proxy for coverage, however the disparity we see between TrueMove H and AIS is largely down to the fact that AIS requires users to subscribe to a 5G tariff, as opposed to TrueMove H which allows greater access to 5G-enabled devices on its network.

Regional 5G performance in Thailand

Every operator takes a unique approach to regional strategy, so we have looked closely at 5G performance in select regions during Q4 2021 to see what’s working. We included regions with a minimum threshold of 300 samples where both sample size and network speeds remained stable over the time period. Given the large disparity in 5G performance between dtac and the rest of the market, we have removed dtac from our regional analysis.

AIS led median 5G download speeds in eight of the ten provinces sampled and AIS led on 5G upload speeds across all provinces. AIS also led TrueMove H on 5G Consistency in eight of the provinces sampled, with the difference between the two in both Khon Kaen and Nakhon Ratchasima marginal.

The most significant performance gap between AIS and TrueMove H is in Chiang Mai, where AIS recorded a median 5G download speed of 340.45 Mbps, compared to TrueMove H (175.86 Mbps), and an upload speed of 45.72 Mbps, compared to TrueMove H with 20.72 Mbps. The performance gap between the two operators in some of Thailand’s other most populous provinces, including Bangkok, Chon Buri and Songkhla was also significant in favor of AIS. In northeastern Thailand, the two operators in the two most populous regions of Nakhon Ratchasima and Khon Kaen showed similar 5G download speeds to one another, although AIS was faster in terms of median 5G upload speeds and narrowly ahead on 5G Consistency.

5G Availability paints a different picture, with TrueMove H ahead in many of the provinces we sampled, but by a margin that varied significantly between provinces. TrueMove H established a lead of 20 percentage points or more in the provinces of Chon Buri, Rayong, Phra Nakhon Si Ayutthaya, Nakhon Pathom, Chiang Mai and Bangkok. There was no winner in 5G Availability between the two operators in Phra Nakhon Si Ayutthaya, Rayong and Khon Kaen.

Thailand 5G Signal Strength

With 5G Availability between AIS and TrueMove H skewed, we examined 5G signal strength, using the SS-RSRP metric, as a more accurate reflection of 5G coverage across Thailand. Ookla® Cell Analytics™ showed strong 5G signal for both operators with wide coverage in the heavily populated regions of the country during Q4 2021. However, it’s also clear that AIS had more samples along arterial routes between Thailand’s various provinces. Based on overall 5G signal strength AIS edged out TrueMove H, with 5% more samples achieving -83 dBm or better, indicating that on average AIS customers are able to maintain a stronger 5G connection across the country.

Changes on the horizon for 5G in Thailand

While AIS leads the market in terms of 5G performance in Q4 2021, the release of further spectrum in the 3.5 GHz band, due to be auctioned by the regulator this year, could drive changes in the market. Other changes are already underway, with TrueMove H and dtac announcing in November 2021 plans to merge their businesses, a move which would create a new market leader with an overall market share in excess of 50% as of Q4 2021, according to GSMA Intelligence. The proposed merger will draw regulatory attention, as it will establish a virtual duopoly in the market. In light of National Telecom’s delay in building out its 5G business plan, this raises concerns that the market for 5G in Thailand will become less competitive.

Ookla’s suite of products can help you benchmark and monitor your network. Learn more about how we can help you here.

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Mark Giles

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Sylwia Kechiche | December 13, 2023

Ookla’s Take on Telco Trends in 2024

The year 2024 is anticipated to be another challenging year as the world continues to struggle with economic downturns, political unrest, and military conflicts. Despite this, digital transformation is making strides in various sectors, leading to greater efficiency, innovation, and the emergence of new business models. There is also a continued focus on sustainability and addressing climate change, as well as enhancing the adaptability and resilience of supply chains. Given this context, we have compiled some predictions for what we can expect in 2024 across a number of themes:

Future Ready Connectivity
Telco Evolution
Customer Impact
Connectivity for All

Future Ready Connectivity

5G rollout continues but user satisfaction and profitability miss the mark

The pace of 5G rollout remains robust, reaching 1.4 billion subscriptions globally, according to Ericsson’s latest Mobility Report. However, most of 5G today isn’t ‘true 5G’ as the majority of 5G networks have been deployed in non-standalone (NSA) mode, meaning they rely on a 4G LTE network core. Although 5G performance has shown improvement in 2023, not all consumers are satisfied with it. According to Speedtest Intelligence® Q3 2023 data, the global median 5G download speeds were 7.37 times faster than 4G (203.04 Mbps compared to 27.51 Mbps), and uplink was 2.3 times faster (18.93 Mbps compared to 8.21 Mbps).

However, 5G latency failed to impress, with global median 5G multi-server latency at 44 ms compared to 52 ms for 4G, showing a mere 1% year-on-year improvement. Telecom operators have invested heavily in 5G infrastructure, but they find it challenging to recover these investments. Without new value-added services that use 5G bandwidth, consumer sentiment looks bleak, with the Net Promoter Score (NPS) for 5G falling in mature markets. The challenge for the 5G industry in the year ahead will be to find ways to monetize 5G beyond Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) use cases and to support investment into standalone (SA) 5G as the industry readies for 5G Advanced ahead of the 6G era.

Phasing out legacy networks for spectrum efficiency

As 5G takes center stage, legacy networks such as 2G and 3G will gradually fade away. Similarly, the copper switch-off will continue. As 4G LTE and 5G technologies are much more efficient in terms of spectrum, network operators are phasing out their legacy networks. This move is motivated by freeing up spectrum and refarming it to deliver faster, more advanced, and more efficient networks. In our recent webinar, we shared how operators can use Ookla Cell Analytics™ to identify areas with high dependency on 3G networks, where consumers use older devices, and locations in need of improved 4G coverage. In 2024, operators in Europe and APAC, in particular, will continue to migrate customers away from 3G as they witness a decline in network traffic over 3G and seek to achieve efficiency gains and Capex reduction.

Private networks steadily carry on

Private mobile networks have become increasingly important for organizations with growing data and security needs as they cater to their specific Industry 4.0 goals. As enterprises of all shapes and sizes increasingly rely on data-intensive applications and IoT devices, legacy networks may struggle to keep up with the growing demand. WiFi and 5G technologies complement each other in modern enterprise networks, with 5G adding a new dynamic to replace legacy network functions where greater flexibility is required. GSA has recognised 1,279 customers deploying private mobile networks in Q3 2023, of which 45% using 5G. .3GPP Release 16 of 5G New Radio (NR) supports a wider set of industrial IoT use cases which should come to the fore in 2024 as more industrial 5G-ready devices that use chipsets based on the Release 16 standards enter the market. Moreover, the industry is already discussing NR Reduced Capability (RedCap), which is specifically designed for devices that do not require the full capabilities of 5G to further enhance cost efficiency and offer precise positioning. Those enterprises that base their networking strategy on problem-solving are well-positioned to meet their objectives no matter the technology they choose.

Telco Evolution

5G SA is still at the Proof of Technology stage

Although 5G Standalone represents the true potential of 5G, its rollout has been slow due to the extensive investments required and a challenging macroeconomic environment. As of October 2023, only 7% of global mobile network operators (43 operators) in 29 counties have launched 5G SA networks. On the public network side, early network performance data from RootMetrics® indicates that 5G SA outperforms its NSA 5G counterpart across various metrics, including latency and time to start playing video and start the file download. However, speeds remain similar due to identical NR bandwidth. In 2023, the focus was on demonstrating the power of 5G SA, including network slicing, through demos and proof-of-concepts. The crucial task for operators now is to translate these promising developments from controlled environments like laboratories and testing into real-world commercialization.

Open RAN faces a challenging year ahead

Beyond continued questions on its performance and limited traction beyond greenfield networks, there is growing concern over how open Open RAN will really become. Industry skeptics point to solving interoperability challenges across hardware and software stacks, slowing down its progress and adding to implementation timelines. AT&T has recently outlined a plan where 70% of its wireless network traffic will flow across open-capable platforms by 2026. The company plans to start fully integrated Open RAN sites in collaboration with Ericsson and Fujitsu starting in 2024. AT&T also plans to ramp up its Open RAN deployments from 2025 using technology from multiple suppliers, signifying a move away from closed proprietary systems. This move highlights the fact that, indeed, the industry’s direction of travel continues to be virtualizing network functions as they allow for greater flexibility, scalability, and cost-efficiency in network operations.

GenAI capturing attention

GenAI, short for Generative AI, like ChatGPT, has seen recently increased acceptance, particularly during 2023. Telecom operators can benefit from using GenAI in various ways, such as optimizing and managing their network without human intervention (zero-touch network management). When implementing GenAI, telecom operators usually follow a phased approach. They start by experimenting with GenAI for internal processes, such as marketing tasks like creating promotional content or analyzing market trends. After successfully implementing and experimenting with internal processes, telecom operators can gradually introduce GenAI into customer-facing functions. For instance, GenAI could automate customer support, offer personalized service recommendations, or manage network aspects based on customer usage patterns. 2024, however, will bring a degree of scrutiny. As the capabilities of Generative AI continue to expand, there will likely be an increase in calls for tighter regulation due to concerns about accuracy and potential harm. Industries, including telecom, must navigate these regulatory challenges and use GenAI responsibly.

Customer Impact

Cloud gaming market bounces back after a brief hitch

Mobile cloud gaming provides an accessible alternative for casual gamers who cannot afford or do not have access to a dedicated game console. By eliminating the cost barrier, it considerably expands the addressable market for gaming services. It allows for direct monetization and presents opportunities to generate revenue through advertising. Recognizing this potential, Samsung could launch its cloud gaming service in Q1 2024 to reach over 1 billion handset and tablet users worldwide. Netflix also started testing its cloud gaming service in 2023, targeting casual gamers on larger screens with nearly 250 million paying subscribers to its video streaming services in Q3 2023. The adoption of cloud gaming services will stimulate the demand for high-speed and low-latency connectivity at home and on the go. Operators can also leverage their edge computing capabilities and connectivity infrastructure to deliver an immersive and lag-free gaming experience.

Connectivity for All

Satellite technology coming of age

Globally, satellite already plays an important role in providing network backhaul for 2G, 3G, and 4G technologies in rural and remote areas while also connecting a range of enterprise verticals such as logistics. Starlink, which uses Low Earth Orbit (LEO) satellites, has proven that it performs better than GEO satellites and offers a viable alternative in locations where terrestrial networks aren’t present. Despite Qualcomm and Iridium terminating their partnership, the excitement around satellite will continue in 2024 and we anticipate greater terrestrial and non-terrestrial network (NTN) integration. We also expect more partnerships between satellite providers and telecom operators to build a seamless and robust communication infrastructure that can address connectivity challenges in underserved regions.

Monetizing 5G through FWA

Fixed Wireless Access (FWA) continues to be a poster child for 5G, as it is one of the only ways carriers have found to monetize 5G separately, leading many operators to pursue FWA actively as part of their 5G strategies. According to Ericsson, there are 121 service providers offering FWA services over 5G, representing 50% of all FWA service providers. FWA provides an opportunity for telecom operators to serve rural locations better and offer an alternative for customers dissatisfied with cable or other incumbent broadband providers. Operators leverage FWA as a part of their 5G monetization strategy, and as Verizon put it “It’s simple. It’s plug-in and go. And that resonates with customers”.

Navigating fair share and regulatory horizons

With the threat landscape and communication networks evolving, governments and regulatory bodies need to keep up with the rapid advancements in telecommunications. The ongoing “fair share” debate centers around how networks are funded and the contributions of different entities toward telecom network costs. The European Union is discussing the contributions of Big Tech companies to the costs of the telecom networks they benefit from, while in the United States, a similar debate centers around net neutrality, financial contributions for network infrastructure, and how to ensure a level playing field for various stakeholders in the telecom space. In 2023, Ookla was actively involved in discussing best practices for ensuring digital transformation and connectivity for all in the APAC region, Central Asia, and Europe. Our data and analysis have shown that regulatory support has been fundamental in promoting the growth of 4G in Africa and informing policy decisions across the Middle East and North Africa. Looking ahead, we will continue to lend a hand in shaping the digital future, offering insights and expertise to foster connectivity, navigate policy decisions, and propel global telecommunications into new and exciting territories.

Ookla will be at MWC Barcelona 2024 – visit us at our Stand 2I28 in Hall 2 to talk with us about telco trends. In the meantime, if you’re interested to find out more about Ookla Speedtest Intelligence and its wealth of fixed and mobile consumer-initiated data and insights, please get in touch.

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Sylwia Kechiche

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Luke Kehoe | December 9, 2024

UK Telecoms at a Crossroads: Consolidation, Convergence, and Looking Ahead to 2025

After years of decline in international rankings, can the UK’s largest telecoms merger in decades revive competition in network quality?

In this special year-end article, we examine the past year in UK telecoms, assessing the country’s global competitiveness, evaluating 5G SA rollouts and monetisation strategies, highlighting the growing trend of convergence and looking ahead to what the market may bring in 2025.

The State of the UK’s Mobile Networks

The UK continued to trail its developed peers in mobile performance in 2024

Reports of mobile not-spots, outages and peak-time congestion dominated discussions around the UK’s mobile networks this year, with high-profile publications highlighting their underperformance compared to developed peers elsewhere in Europe and North America. Particular attention has been drawn to indoor coverage deficits—where over 80% of mobile traffic originates today—and lingering blackspots along key rail corridors nationwide.

Consumer research published by Ookla earlier this year, based on a survey of over 2,000 smartphone users in the UK and US, revealed significantly higher dissatisfaction among UK mobile users. Quality of experience (QoE) issues, such as slow-loading web pages (37%) and interrupted video streams (19%), were prominent, with over a quarter of UK respondents also reporting service interruptions or outages at least once a month. These experiences are likely driving a higher propensity to churn, with 27% of users planning to switch operators within the next twelve months citing coverage as their primary reason.

Analysis of Speedtest Intelligence® data underscores UK consumers’ concerns, revealing the country’s stark international underperformance. Over the past eight years, the UK has shifted from being a G7 leader to a laggard in mobile download speeds at the 10th percentile—a key measure of baseline network performance, as it reflects the experience of users with the slowest connections. These speeds are now lower in the UK than in all but one other G7 country (Japan), with the gap to the leader (France) now widening rapidly on a year-on-year basis.

Outside the G7, the UK recorded the lowest Consistency score in Europe (82.56%) during Q2-Q3 2024, ahead of only Ireland. This metric reflects the percentage of consumer-initiated Speedtest samples meeting minimum speed thresholds: 5 Mbps download and 1 Mbps upload on 4G, and 25 Mbps download and 3 Mbps upload on 5G. Market-wide Consistency in the UK saw only slight increases over the year, primarily driven by improvements in the performance of 4G networks.

Investments in RAN upgrades and site expansion are driving progress in coverage and QoE moving into 2025

Notwithstanding the challenges, there is evidence that the performance of the UK’s mobile networks improved notably during the year, as reflected in other key indicators. Speedtest Intelligence data revealed a reduction in market-wide latency to 51.83 ms, reflecting progress across three of the four operators. Moreover, the observed quality of experience for bread-and-butter activities such as gaming and video streaming moved in the right direction again after a decline last year.

Significant investments in RAN upgrades and site expansions, bolstered in part by the government’s 4G-focused Shared Rural Network (SRN) initiative, contributed to substantial improvements in network coverage across all operators over the year. Overall 5G Availability in the UK rose by nearly 10 percentage points to 36.25% between 2023 and 2024, while 4G Availability increased from 93.8% to 95.7% during the same period.

Ofcom noted, however, that there remains a substantial rural-urban divide in terms of 5G deployment progress in the UK, with 5G deployed on 42% of sites in urban areas, compared with just 16% of sites in rural areas, at the end of 2024.

Progress in the 3G sunset underlines the importance of supporting new measures to improve indoor connectivity outcomes

The shutdown of 3G networks, which reportedly accounted for less than 1% of traffic but over a quarter of operators’ RAN electricity consumption in some cases, has played an important role in freeing up spectrum for 4G and 5G. EE, for instance, has expanded its refarmed 2100 MHz spectrum deployments (n1) for 5G, increasing channel bandwidth from 15 MHz to 20 MHz during the year.

Speedtest Intelligence data reveals a decrease in overall 3G General Availability in the UK from 3.43% last year to 1.60% in 2024, indicating the percentage of users falling back to and mainly using 3G networks more than halved in the period. A potential consequence of the 3G sunset, however, is an increased reliance on 2G networks, particularly in deep indoor environments—the percentage of overall users that spend the majority of their time on 2G increased from 0.37% in 2023 to 0.76% this year.

By the end of 2025, all four of the UK’s mobile operators are expected to have completed their 3G sunsets. Reducing the propensity to fall back to 2G and enhancing the handover experience to 4G and 5G networks are likely to remain key priorities for operators’ RAN strategies. Progress in enhancing the indoor mobile network experience in the UK, enabled by deployment models such as Boldyn Networks’ small cell rollout on the London Underground and new in-building neutral host solutions from companies like Freshwave and Proptivity, will be key and may benefit from policy support.

Merger approval transforms spectrum landscape and provides certainty moving into 2025

The successful approval of the merger between Three and Vodafone by the Competition and Markets Authority (CMA) brings much-needed certainty to the market heading into 2025. This decision is expected to encourage long-term commitments to capital spending on network upgrades across all operators in the UK market, not just required by the merged entity for integrating its networks and complying with the CMA’s behavioural remedies. With the consolidation and redistribution of spectrum benefiting both the merged entity and Virgin Media O2 (VMO2), two of the three in-market operators will have more headroom to expand network capacity where needed.

Research published by Ookla earlier this year examined the impact of operator consolidation on network quality outcomes across Europe and a sample of other high-income countries. It found that a three-player market structure—now set to define the UK market following the merger—tends to be associated with higher median download speeds, improved network consistency and more positive consumer sentiment in the markets where it is present over time.

The UK leads Europe in the commercialisation of 5G SA

While the UK lags behind its developed peers in mobile network performance, it has emerged as a global leader in the commercial rollout of the standalone (SA) 5G architecture. It remains the only European country with three commercially available 5G SA networks at the end of 2024, as VMO2 and EE joined Vodafone this year in launching the technology, primarily targeting dense urban areas in cities and towns. Ofcom reported that there were 3,300 5G SA-capable sites by the end of 2024, representing 15% of all reported 5G sites and carrying 3% of the UK’s overall monthly mobile traffic.

Controlled network testing by RootMetrics®, an Ookla company, on EE’s 5G network in Birmingham in October confirmed the significant latency improvements unlocked by the SA architecture. With 115 MHz of channel bandwidth observed across much of EE’s SA deployments along the test route, the operator stands out as the closest European equivalent to T-Mobile in the US which, like EE, has distinguished itself through extensive SA spectrum allocation spanning multiple carriers from low-band to mid- and high-bands.

In addition to upgrading traditional rooftop and monopole sites for 5G SA, operators like VMO2 are deploying street-level 5G SA small cells in increasing numbers to boost network capacity in high-footfall areas. This approach to network densification is expected to accelerate next year as macro site grid upgrades mature and operators collaborate with local authorities to streamline deployment processes for street-level mobile infrastructure.

Stimulating consumer demand for 5G SA proves a challenge, with bundling emerging as a key sales strategy

On a business level, each operator has adopted a distinct strategy to market 5G SA in the UK, highlighting the persistent challenges of monetising 5G investments as far as mid-way through the technology cycle. Vodafone led the charge with a consumer-focused launch in 2023, branding its SA service as ‘5G Ultra’. In an effort to upsell its base, the offering was limited to postpay subscribers, with ‘improved phone battery life’ promoted as a key selling point.

In contrast, VMO2 launched its 5G SA network this year, following the playbook of operators like Iliad’s Free in the French market, by offering access to its existing subscribers at no additional cost. While the operator touted improvements in latency and uplink performance unlocked by the new 5G SA core and enhanced carrier aggregation, the aggressive pricing strategy reinforces the increasing industry consensus in Europe that consumers are unwilling to pay a premium for 5G SA alone.

Recognising this challenge in marketing the technology as a worthy consumer upgrade from the NSA architecture, and aligning with its strategy to transition from a traditional telecoms operator to a dynamic, service-led household brand, EE has taken a more ambitious approach. The operator has bundled its 5G SA offerings, restricted to its most expensive tariffs, with content packages, securing a partnership with Google to provide access to its premium Gemini Advanced AI model as part of the deal.

Bundling has proven effective for upselling in other advanced markets, particularly in Asia, where operators have successfully boosted ARPU by introducing differentiated services early in the 5G cycle. In addition to bundling Google’s AI services, EE introduced a ‘Network Boost’ subscription add-on with its 5G SA launch, offering premium subscribers the option to pay for prioritised network access during times of congestion.

This bundling strategy is expected to expand further in the UK next year, aligning with converged fixed and mobile offerings from operators like BT and VMO2. As the rollout of 5G SA matures and is afforded greater strategic priority under the government’s Wireless Infrastructure Strategy (WIS), and the device and solution ecosystem continues to mature, operators are likely to shift their focus to the enterprise segment—arguably the only market where SA-specific features, such as network slicing, hold any substantive monetisation potential.

The State of the UK’s Fixed Broadband Networks

Fibre land grab boosts the UK’s international ranking in fixed broadband performance

The recent groundswell of investment in fibre infrastructure across the UK is paying off, with median download speeds on fixed networks increasing by nearly 40% between 2023 and 2024 to 107.07 Mbps, according to Speedtest Intelligence data. This improvement trend also extended to other key metrics, including a 6% reduction in latency to 20.47 ms and enhanced QoE for gaming and video streaming across major ISPs. Ofcom reported that FTTH reached nearly 7 in 10 homes at the end of 2024, putting the UK on track to reach the government’s target of 85% full-fibre coverage by the end of 2025.

UK leads Germany and Italy in Fixed Download Speeds, but Trails G7 Leaders
Source: Speedtest Intelligence® | 2018 – 2024
Spline plot comparison of median fixed download speeds among the G7 countries between 2018 and 2024 based on Speedtest Intelligence® data.

Notably, in the context of Ookla’s Speedtest Global Index™, the UK continues to rank relatively higher in fixed network performance compared to mobile performance. The significant gains in median fixed download, upload and latency performance over the last year have propelled the UK up twelve places in the index, positioning it ahead of other G7 countries like Germany and Italy. However, it remains in the lower half of Western European countries.

Wi-Fi 7 poised to become the default standard for ISPs targeting premium experiences in 2025

The growing adoption of advanced Wi-Fi solutions, including mesh routers for enhanced whole-home coverage and Wi-Fi 6E-capable access points for higher throughput on multi-gigabit FTTH connections, continues to play an important role in enhancing fixed performance outcomes in the UK. In the year gone by, fixed ISPs have increasingly relied on ‘Wi-Fi guarantees’ as a cornerstone of their marketing strategies, offering promises of minimum download speeds in every room—backed by money-back assurances.

Building on this momentum, Wi-Fi 7 is expected to become the default standard for CPE provided by UK ISPs on premium FTTH tariffs from next year. BT was among the first ISPs globally to launch a next-generation Wi-Fi 7 router earlier this year, partnering with Qualcomm to introduce its new ‘Smart Hub Pro’ and ‘Smart Wi-Fi Pro’ CPE solutions to EE Home Broadband customers.

Merger approval ups the ante on convergence moving into 2025

The merger between Three and Vodafone paves the way for the UK to have three converged operators for the first time. The merged entity, following in the footsteps of previous tie-ups between BT and EE in 2016 and Virgin Media and O2 in 2021, will aim to fully integrate its fixed and combined mobile networks to deliver a differentiated experience that is better than the sum of its individual parts.

This trend is expected to drive operators to move beyond basic cross-selling of mobile and fixed services, instead positioning converged solutions as premium tariff bundles that deliver seamless, best-in-class experiences across fixed, mobile and Wi-Fi—on any device, anywhere. BT’s ‘EE One’ converged solution, unveiled alongside its 5G SA and Wi-Fi 7 launches earlier this year, offers a preview of the kinds of solutions likely to emerge from all converged operators in 2025.

Operator investments in bringing their fixed and mobile networks closer together will play a key role in ensuring subscribers enjoy an improved experience across all access paths. VMO2, for example, recently announced the activation of its ‘Converged Interconnected Network’ architecture, which it touted as improving the operator’s ability to manage traffic flows across its fixed and mobile services by aggregating data closer to the end user before routing it back to the core network.

Key Trends to Watch in 2025

Mobile Data Traffic Growth Plateau

The UK, like other advanced mobile markets in Europe and North America, is entering a phase of declining mobile data traffic growth, following an S-curve trajectory. Ofcom reported an 18% increase in total monthly traffic in 2024, marking a slowdown from the 25% growth observed in both 2022 and 2023. This trend of moderated growth is expected to continue next year and warrants close attention, as it could significantly impact mobile operators’ capital cycles, spectrum demand and equipment vendors’ business models over the long term in the UK and further afield.

Private Network Proliferation

The removal of the requirement to individually register end-user devices for low-power use in shared bands, increased availability of medium-power licenses and the launch of a comprehensive spectrum mapping tool for the 3.8-4.2 GHz band were key milestones in Ofcom’s support for private networks in 2024. These measures contributed to the provision of 113 new shared access licenses between July and November, including 45 in the 1800 MHz band and 68 in the 3.8-4.2 GHz band. Further growth in the UK’s private network ecosystem is expected in 2025, with Ofcom set to enable low-power indoor access in the 2.3 GHz band.

Direct-to-Device (D2D) Arrival

Ofcom is developing a framework to authorise and facilitate D2D services in the UK, with a consultation scheduled for the first half of 2025. It will also review its approach to the mobile satellite service (MSS) licences in the 2 GHz band, as the current EU-wide licences are set to expire in 2027, allowing the UK to independently determine their future use. EE and O2 are the most likely potential candidates for a Direct-to-Cell (D2C) partnership with SpaceX’s Starlink, while Vodafone has been flirting with AST SpaceMobile.

About the Author

Luke Kehoe

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Affandy Johan | December 20, 2023

Digital Transformation in the 5G Era: Key Takeaways from the Digital Transformation Leaders’ CxO Summit

Ookla® recently participated in the Digital Transformation Leaders’ CxO Summit in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, on November 22nd and 23rd, 2023. At the summit, leaders from multiple mobile network operators, governments, industries, and ecosystem players gathered to discuss commercial strategies, technological advancements, and industry promotion policies. The aim was to accelerate sector-wide intelligent digital transformation in the 5G era by addressing opportunities and challenges.

Key Takeaways

Adopting digital transformation is crucial to compete in the 5G era. Digital transformation is essential for industry players to stay competitive in the digital age. Despite challenges, the potential benefits, like better efficiency, improved customer experiences, and innovation opportunities, make it crucial for industries to undertake.
A collaborative effort is necessary for Open RAN’s success. Despite the global momentum of Open RAN, challenges stemming from interoperability issues among hardware and software stacks pose significant hurdles, demanding a collaborative effort within the telecom industry to ensure the success of this transformative technology.
Complementing terrestrial networks with Non-Terrestrial Networks (NTN) is crucial for global connectivity. Combining both networks’ strengths creates a more robust communication infrastructure that enhances connectivity, reliability, and coverage.

5G is an integral element of any country’s digital transformation strategy

Mobile connectivity stands as a driving force for digital innovation and economic growth across the Asia Pacific region. GSMA reports that mobile technologies and services contributed nearly 5% of the region’s GDP in 2022, translating to a substantial $810 billion in economic value added. This underscores the pivotal role of 5G deployment in fostering economic growth, benefiting both individuals and enterprises. As the backbone of transformative technologies, 5G has become a catalyst for innovation, propelling the Asia Pacific region into the forefront of the global digital economy.

During his opening speech, Julian Gorman, the Head of APAC for GSMA, highlighted that the Asia Pacific region is a collection of diverse markets, each at a unique stage of growth regarding 5G adoption. Countries in the region are charting their own individual paths in deploying 5G networks. The tailored approach is essential as it accommodates varying technological landscapes, economic conditions, and regulatory frameworks and allows nations to capitalize on 5G’s potential in a manner that aligns with their specific needs and challenges.

Several speakers quoted Ookla’s recent report highlighting how the Asia Pacific region has some of the world’s fastest 5G networks, with South Korea and Malaysia ranking in the top three countries for 5G network speeds globally. Malaysia has achieved impressive 5G performance, ranking third globally for 5G download speed with a reported speed of 485.25 Mbps, surpassing its Southeast Asian neighbors. This is despite launching its nationwide 5G network less than two years ago and adopting an unconventional deployment strategy.

Co-CEO of DNB, Datuk Ahmad Zaki Bin Zahid, emphasized during his speech that the journey towards 5G adoption goes beyond just speed and that a strong network infrastructure foundation is crucial. His remarks underscore the need for a strategic and thoughtful planning approach when building a solid network foundation for new 5G applications. Investing strategically in building and expanding telecommunications networks is crucial for unlocking the nation’s digital transformation and driving growth. Earlier this year, the Malaysian government announced its intention to transition to a dual network model once the current rollout under DNB has achieved 80% coverage of populated areas. How implementing a dual network will impact Malaysia’s 5G adoption and digital transformation remains to be seen.

Embracing network digital transformation is necessary for staying competitive in the 5G era

During the session titled “Network Digital Transformation in the 5G Era,” industry experts emphasized the significance of network digital transformation in the 5G era. The speakers’ discussed how 5G technology has revolutionized the way networks operate and how it supports digital transformation for businesses. In his presentation, Ericsson’s Asia-Pacific Group CTO, Magnus Everbring, explained how a well-built 5G network and through enhanced features such as network slicing, or 5G Standalone, will be able to differentiate traffic for new services, thus utilizing the 5G network to its full potential. This will open up possibilities for new 5G services for enterprises and consumers, moving beyond broadband use cases and into various industry verticals such as healthcare, utilities, manufacturing, media and broadcast, and the public sector.

Overcoming interoperability hurdles for Open RAN

Open RAN has recently been gaining traction globally. However, several single vendor operators often face technical and verification challenges in implementing Open RAN. According to our recent report that analyzed telco trends for 2024, industry experts believe that interoperability issues across hardware and software stacks are hindering Open RAN’s progress, causing delays in its implementation timelines. Resolving these challenges is crucial to the success of Open RAN and will require a concerted effort from the telecom industry.

In a panel discussion, Dr. Sadayuki Abeta, the Global Head of Open RAN at NTT DOCOMO, discussed how the company is using its expertise to support the Open RAN efforts of operators worldwide. NTT DOCOMO has introduced its Open RAN OREX platform, designed to simplify the deployment of open RAN. Dr. Abeta mentioned that they are working with dozens of vendors to develop a verified multi-vendor Open RAN solution that addresses various challenges, such as integration issues, power consumption balancing with performance, and managing an open RAN ecosystem.

NTNs can complement 5G terrestrial networks for seamless connectivity

In one of the sessions, the topic of discussion was how complementing Non-Terrestrial Networks (NTN) with 5G terrestrial networks leverages the strengths of both network types to create a robust and efficient communication infrastructure and services. Gerhard Ott, the Customer CTO APJ Strategy at Nokia, believes that a secure, multi-layered, and sustainable network is essential for providing a comprehensive and reliable communication solution that can meet the needs of various applications and use cases. Nokia is working with AST SpaceMobile to offer direct-to-cell phone connectivity from space, eliminating coverage gaps and providing digital connectivity to remote rural communities.

Looking ahead to 2024, we anticipate a greater integration of terrestrial and NTN. The hybrid approach provides a highly resilient, scalable, and secure communication infrastructure that can address connectivity across diverse scenarios and geographic locations.

The GSMA CxO Forum emphasized 5G’s importance in driving positive change through digital transformation for various industries, businesses, societies, and nations. Although progress has been achieved in the Asia Pacific region, there is still a long way to go. In line with what was discussed during Ookla’s Asia Pacific Telecommunications Regulatory Summit, Government and industry players must work together to ensure that digital technologies and services are integrated into every sector of the economy to achieve sustainable and economic growth. If you’re interested in learning more about Ookla’s perspective on telco trends for 2024, you can read our report here.

About the Author

Affandy Johan

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Isla McKetta | December 18, 2022

Stable and Expanding: The State of Worldwide 5G in 2022

5G is no longer a new technology, however, consumers in many countries are still waiting to see the full benefits of 5G (or even to connect to 5G at all). We examined Speedtest Intelligence® data from Q3 2022 Speedtest® results to see how 5G performance has changed since last year, where download speeds are the fastest at the country level, and how satellite technologies are offering additional options to connect. We also looked at countries that don’t yet have 5G to understand where consumers are seeing improvements in 4G LTE access.

5G speeds were stable at the global level

In 2021, we discussed how an expansion of 5G access led to a decline in overall speed at the global level. This year showed a stabilization in overall speed, even as 5G access broadened, with a median global 5G download speed of 168.27 Mbps in Q3 2022 as compared to 166.13 Mbps in Q3 2021. Median upload speed over 5G slowed slightly to 18.71 Mbps (from 21.08 Mbps) during the same period. According to the Ookla® 5G Map™, there were 127,509 5G deployments in 128 countries as of November 30, 2022, compared to 85,602 in 112 countries the year prior.

South Korea and the United Arab Emirates led countries for 5G speeds

South Korea and the U.A.E. had the fastest median download speed over 5G at 516.15 Mbps and 511.70 Mbps, respectively, during Q3 2022, leading a top 10 list that included Bulgaria, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Singapore, Kuwait, New Zealand, Bahrain, and Brazil. Bulgaria, Singapore, Bahrain, and Brazil were new to the top 10 in 2022, while Norway, Sweden, China, and Taiwan fell out of the top 10.

Satellite became more accessible but performance slowed

2022 saw a proliferation of fast, low-earth orbit (LEO) satellite internet from Starlink across the world. Q1 2022 saw Starlink speeds increase year over year in Canada and the U.S., with Starlink in Mexico having the fastest satellite internet in North America, Starlink in Lithuania the fastest in Europe, Starlink in Chile the fastest in South America, and Starlink in Australia the fastest in Oceania.

Q2 2022 saw Starlink speeds decrease in Canada, France, Germany, New Zealand, the U.K., and the U.S. from Q1 2022 as Starlink crossed the 400,000 user threshold across the world. Starlink in Puerto Rico debuted as the fastest satellite provider in North America. Starlink outperformed fixed broadband averages in 16 European countries. Starlink in Brazil had the fastest satellite speeds in South America. And Starlink in New Zealand was the fastest satellite provider in Oceania.

During Q3 2022, Starlink performance dipped once again from Q2 2022 in Canada and the U.S., while remaining about the same in Chile. Starlink in Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands had the fastest satellite speeds in North America, while Starlink in Brazil again was the fastest satellite provider in South America.

With Viasat, HughesNet, and Project Kuiper set to launch huge LEO constellations in 2023, consumers around the world are poised to have more fast satellite internet options, particularly as the European Commission makes its own play for a constellation and Eutelsat and OneWeb potentially merging.

5G Availability points to on-going challenges

5G Availability measures the proportion of Speedtest users with 5G-capable handsets, who spend a majority of time connected to 5G networks. It’s therefore a function of 5G coverage and adoption. We see wide disparity in 5G Availability among markets worldwide, with for example the U.S. recording 54.3% in Q3 2022, well ahead of markets such as Sweden and the U.A.E., with 8.6% and 8.3% respectively.

Critical levers for mobile operators to increase 5G Availability include:

Increasing 5G coverage by deploying additional base stations
Obtaining access to, or refarming, sub-GHz spectrum, to help broaden 5G coverage, as sub-GHz spectrum has superior propagation properties than that of higher frequency spectrum bands.
Encouraging 5G adoption among users with 5G-capable handsets.

Speedtest Intelligence points to 5G adoption challenges in some markets, with 5G Availability dropping in Bulgaria, South Korea, the Netherlands, and the U.A.E. As more users acquire 5G-capable devices, operators need to balance their pricing models to ensure users have sufficient incentives to purchase a 5G tariff.

Where 5G continues to fail to reach

Speedtest Intelligence showed 29 countries in the world where more than 20% of samples were from 2G and 3G connections (combined) during Q3 2022 and met our statistical threshold to be included (down from 70 in Q3 2021). These are mostly countries where 5G is still aspirational for a majority of the population, which is being left behind technologically, having to rely on decades-old technologies that are only sufficient for basic voice and texting, social media, and navigation apps. We’re glad to see so many countries fall off this list, but having so many consumers on 2G and 3G also prevents mobile operators from making 4G and 5G networks more efficient. If operators and regulators are able to work to upgrade their users to 4G and higher, everyone will benefit.

Countries That Still Rely Heavily on 2G and 3G Connections

Speedtest IntelligenceⓇ | Q3 2021

Country	2G & 3G Samples
Central African Republic	76.2%
Turkmenistan	58.5%
Kiribati	51.6%
Micronesia	47.4%
Rwanda	41.1%
Belarus	39.7%
Equatorial Guinea	37.7%
Afghanistan	36.7%
Palestine	33.5%
Madagascar	27.5%
Sudan	27.4%
Lesotho	26.5%
South Sudan	26.3%
Benin	26.0%
Guinea	25.5%
Cape Verde	24.3%
Tonga	24.3%
Syria	23.4%
The Gambia	23.4%
Ghana	23.3%
Palau	22.9%
Niger	22.8%
Tajikistan	22.7%
Mozambique	22.4%
Guyana	21.8%
Togo	21.8%
Congo	21.1%
Moldova	20.8%
Saint Kitts and Nevis	20.0%

We were pleased to see the following countries come off the list from last year, having dropped below the 20% threshold: Algeria, Angola, Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Armenia, Barbados, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Botswana, Burundi, Caribbean Netherlands, Cook Islands, Dominica, Ecuador, El Salvador, Ethiopia, Gabon, Grenada, Haiti, Honduras, Jamaica, Liberia, Mauritania, Namibia, Nigeria, Papua New Guinea, Saint Lucia, Saint Vincent and the Grenadines, Sierra Leone, Solomon Islands, Somalia, Suriname, Swaziland, Tanzania, Trinidad and Tobago, Uganda, Ukraine, Uzbekistan, Vanuatu, Venezuela, Yemen, Zambia, and Zimbabwe. While countries like Belarus, Cape Verde, Central African Republic, Guinea, Guyana, Madagascar, Palestine, Rwanda, South Sudan, Tajikistan, Togo, and Turkmenistan are still on this list, they have improved the percentage of their samples on these outmoded technologies when compared to last year by at least 10 points. Palestine improved by more than 50 points. 2G and 3G samples in Kiribati increased 3.2 points when comparing Q3 2022 to Q3 2021.

We’re glad to see performance levels normalize as 5G expands to more and more countries and access improves and we are optimistic that 2023 will bring further improvements. Keep track of how well your country is performing on Ookla’s Speedtest Global Index™ or track performance in thousands of cities worldwide with the Speedtest Performance Directory™.

About the Author

Isla McKetta

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Affandy Johan | July 24, 2023

5G in Asia Pacific: Deployment Momentum Continues

The Asia Pacific region has successfully implemented 5G technology despite the challenges posed by the pandemic, global economy, and geopolitical climate. South Korea, China, and Japan have led the way in 5G network deployment. With the continued rollout of 5G networks in other regional markets, Asia Pacific is on track to become the largest 5G market globally.

Key messages

Advanced Asia Pacific markets have taken the lead in the 5G rollout. Countries such as South Korea, Australia, and China, were among the first in the world to launch commercial 5G networks as more markets joined the ranks.
5G performance outranks Europe. Early adopters in the Asia Pacific region have outperformed major European markets in terms of 5G performance. This is mainly due to factors like early spectrum availability and supportive government policies.
5G Availability varies. The region experiences varying levels of 5G Availability and adoption due to factors like population density, device affordability, and tariffs.
Seoul and Kuala Lumpur are the top cities for 5G performance, boasting median download speeds of 533.95 Mbps and 523.44 Mbps, respectively.
5G helps to narrow the digital divide. 5G FWA is a viable alternative to traditional fixed broadband to narrow down the digital divide in the region

South Korea sets the pace as 5G networks expand across the region

Many of the more advanced markets in the Asia Pacific have been the frontrunners in terms of 5G rollout. South Korea was the first market in the world to deploy a nationwide 5G network in April 2019, followed by Australia, the Philippines, China, and New Zealand later that year. As predicted by GSMA Intelligence, the recent second wave of 5G rollouts in the region in countries such as Indonesia, India, and Malaysia will see Asia Pacific becoming one of the largest 5G markets in the world by 2025.

Allocation of spectrum resources is crucial

In our recent spectrum analysis, we discussed how important spectrum is for the performance and coverage of 5G. In general, regulators in the Asia Pacific region have been quick to allocate spectrum for 5G applications, and in many cases, operators have been able to secure substantial bandwidth in the key C-band.

The mid-band spectrum is the most frequently awarded spectrum band in the Asia Pacific region. It is the top choice for commercial 5G deployment because it balances 5G coverage and capacity. In some markets, 5G deployment uses low-band (sub 1 GHz) frequencies, allowing for wider outdoor 5G coverage and better penetration inside buildings in urban and suburban areas. However, this may come at the expense of the median download speed, which typically peaks at around 100 Mbps.

For some markets, 5G spectrum awards are subject to strict milestones and requirements. Operators in South Korea were required to have 22,500 base stations by the end of 2021, 45,000 by the end of 2023, and 150,000 base stations upon completion of their 3.5 GHz spectrum rollout. Additionally, within three years, there were required to install 15,000 base stations utilizing 28 GHz. However, a review by South Korea’s Ministry of Science and ICT (MSIT) found that all mobile operators met the minimum requirements for the 3.5GHz spectrum but not the 28GHz spectrum. Consequently, the ministry has withdrawn all operators’ spectrum licenses in the 28GHz band. In our recent mmWave analysis, we thoroughly covered the performance and progress inherent in that spectrum band.

Asia Pacific outpaced major European markets in terms of 5G performance

While Europe and the Asia Pacific markets share similarities such as large cultural diversity, customers with varying demographics, and mixed regulations and policies, our recent analysis of European 5G performance revealed that early 5G adopters in the Asia Pacific region performed better than some major European markets.

According to Speedtest Intelligence® H1 2023 data, several markets in the Asia Pacific region had faster median download performance compared to the top five European economies. Malaysia and South Korea led the pack with speeds of over 500 Mbps, with Malaysia reporting a median download performance of 512.10 Mbps, and South Korea at 503.99 Mbps – an impressive accomplishment for Malaysia, which launched 5G 3.5 years after South Korea and has caught up to them in performance. Both countries have notable differences in terms of their telecommunications landscapes. The Malaysian government went with a nationwide single wholesale network (SWN) approach as its 5G deployment plan. Digital Nasional Berhad (DNB) was established in 2021 to construct and operate the 5G network infrastructure and provide 5G services to mobile network operators at wholesale prices. South Korea has long been at the forefront of mobile technology and boasts one of the highest internet penetration rates globally. As a result of its early commitment to 5G development, South Korea became the first market in the world to launch a commercial 5G network.

During the same period, Singapore, India, New Zealand, China, and Australia achieved a median 5G download speed exceeding 200 Mbps. In comparison, only France recorded speeds above 200 Mbps among the European countries mentioned, while Italy, Germany, United Kingdom, and Spain, recorded median download speeds below 150 Mbps.

5G Availability and adoption vary across the region

5G Availability (the percentage of users on 5G-capable devices that spend most of the time with access to 5G networks) varied widely across the Asia Pacific region during H1 2023. Factors such as access to low-band spectrum and affordability and availability of 5G devices influence each market’s reported 5G Availability. Analysis based on data from Speedtest Intelligence shows that Hong Kong stands out as the only country analyzed to have surpassed 40% 5G Availability, reaching 42.3% in H1 2023. Part of the reason is the city’s high population density, 5G coverage that reaches over 90% of the population, and a high 5G smartphone penetration rate, which Counterpoint Research reported as 78% in Q1 of 2023.

Despite Australia being 78 times larger than South Korea, and being one of the least densely populated countries, both countries reported similar 5G Availability rates, at around 36.6%. Counterpoint Research reported a 5G smartphone penetration rate of more than 80% for both countries, with South Korea at 88% and Australia at 82%. Across the European markets, France, Spain, Germany, and the U.K. ranged between 20%-30%. Similarly, Thailand also falls within this range at 26.8%.

Based on Q2 2023 data from GSMA Intelligence, South Korea, China, and Japan led in 5G adoption, measured as the percentage of 5G connections compared to total connections, higher than the selected European markets looked at in this report. South Korea had a total of 31.3 million 5G connections, which accounted for more than 48% of all mobile connections in the country, while China boasts over 700 million 5G connections, equivalent to 41% of connections. Other early adopters of 5G in the region, such as Japan, Hong Kong, and Australia, have all seen a considerable rise in their total 5G connections from the previous year. Japan experienced a 76% increase of 5G connections between Q2 2022 to Q2 2023, to 60.8 million connections. Hong Kong increased by 65% to 4.8 million, and Australia had 8.8 million connections, up by almost 40% during the same period of time.

Seoul and Kuala Lumpur are the top cities in the Asia Pacific region for 5G speeds.

Given that both Malaysia and South Korea are ahead in 5G performance among their peers, it is unsurprising that their capital cities came first as well in the ranking of selected cities. In H1 2023, Seoul had a median download speed of 533.95 Mbps, while Malaysia’s capital, Kuala Lumpur, reported a median download speed of 523.44 Mbps. Digital Nasional Berhad (DNB), Malaysia’s designated 5G wholesale provider, reported 90% 5G coverage of populated areas (COPA) throughout Kuala Lumpur at the end of 2022.

Despite being one of the latest markets to launch 5G, the Indian cities of Delhi and Mumbai performed well in the cities’ speeds ranking. Both cities reported median download speeds of over 300 Mbps in H1 2023, with Delhi at 357.43 Mbps and Mumbai at 319.45 Mbps. While Kuala Lumpur, Mumbai, and Delhi have shown 5G performance comparable to or even exceeding those of well-established 5G markets in the region, their 5G networks are still relatively new. As a result, these cities have lower 5G Availability than others as anticipated.

Metro Manila, with one-third of the population of the Philippines, had the lowest median download speed among all the cities in this report for H1 2023, with a speed of 135.51 Mbps. During the same period, Metro Manila reported a 5G availability rate of 35.7%, slightly lower than Seoul (35.9%) and Sydney (39.2%).

Breaking the digital divide with 5G FWA

The benefits of 5G go beyond the faster speeds compared to 4G. It also plays a role in bringing connectivity to underserved areas. Although developed markets in the Asia Pacific are leading in ultra-fast, fixed fiber broadband, there is still a portion of the region where internet connectivity is expensive, unavailable, or insufficient. Many people in these underserved regions rely on mobile devices to access the internet. According to GSMA Intelligence, mobile broadband networks are accessible to more than 96% of the population, making it the primary option for internet access in many households.

In some markets, mobile operators see 5G, particularly 5G fixed-wireless access (FWA) services, as a viable alternative to traditional fixed broadband. While FWA is not a new concept, the use of 5G technology is expected to accelerate its growth, especially in areas where it is not economically feasible to deploy high-speed fixed broadband networks. According to GSMA Intelligence, nearly three in five users who either have upgraded or plan to upgrade to 5G find the idea of using 5G for home broadband appealing. FWA is becoming one of the operators’ primary 5G use cases, providing an opportunity to increase revenue and monetize network investments and wireless spectrum.

The Asia-Pacific region is seeing a rise in the adoption of 5G FWA, with Southeast Asia leading the way. In 2019, Globe Telecom in the Philippines, became the first country in the region to launch FWA. Other regional operators, such as Telkomsel in Indonesia and AIS in Thailand, have also begun offering FWA services. In New Zealand, operators plan to provide FWA coverage to 90% of the population by the end of 2023.

While 5G FWA shows promising growth potential, operators need to ensure that as 5G adoption in the network increases, they have the capacity to support their FWA services and the spectrum to guarantee quality. When the demand for 5G FWA service grows, operators may have to look at utilizing the mmWave spectrum to maintain the quality of their FWA services while keeping network capacity intact.

We will keep a close eye on the progress and effectiveness of 5G implementation throughout the Asia Pacific region. If you are interested in benchmarking your performance or if you’d like to learn more about internet speeds and performance in other markets around the world, visit the Speedtest Global Index^™.

About the Author

Affandy Johan

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